A 12-point lead is not much; Abbott seems to be running a really poor campaign thus far.
Abbott will win by 20%.
“A 12-point lead is not much; Abbott seems to be running a really poor campaign thus far.”
He’s doing ok, from what I can tell. It’s still early and there’s a lot of undecideds. Texas is a lot closer to 60/40 (if that) than 70/30, due to our large minority sector. The key is holding the 60, and I think he’s doing that. The only one that could really beat that number was Kay (usually about 70%), but then you also got Kay.
Just last weekend Abbott had an excellent change to demand Amnesty for “the children” (the ones invading from the South), as Cantor, Paul, and a number of other Republicans did. Instead he sounded a lot more like Dan Patrick on the issue - and certainly a lot less like Perry.
He’s doing good.