Washington post gives the 11th district seat (Bentivolio) a 99% chance of staying republican.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-tran/politics/election-lab-2014
Cook political report has 80 seats “in play” and MI-11 is one of them at Likely Republican. 1% perhaps is about right for seats that are marginally in play.
http://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings