Posted on 05/09/2014 5:56:10 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT
Cook political report has 80 seats “in play” and MI-11 is one of them at Likely Republican. 1% perhaps is about right for seats that are marginally in play.
http://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings
I don’t care what Cripplecreek thinks, he’s totally in the tank for Kerry B. Several of us were arguing with him yesterday, I agree to disagree with him. Kerry B. is electorally weak and there is nothing to suggest that Trott is a RINO.
If you ping him don’t ping anyone else to the same post or he’ll yell at you.
What I really wish the GOP would do is put up some token candidates in some of the solid democrat held districts.
Give them enough funding to get started and turn them loose to wreak havoc. I don’t care if they run on a pro abortion anti gun open border ticket as long as they do damage and cost the democrats money.
I didn’t mention:
WI-06 OPEN
just got going. 3 guys with 100% pro-life ratings
http://www.rightwisconsin.com/perspectives/who-is-the-front-runner-to-succeed-tom-petri-255224551.html
I also didn’t list all the endorsements for the candidates ... I’m not that dedicated.
bookmark
Glenn Grothman has made some attempts to defund sanctuary cities back in 2007. Right Wing Watch hates him because he told immigrants to assimilate and not have a chip on the shoulder and feminazis.
Im real suspect on Scott Walker’s buddy John Hiller. Does he agree with Walker’s open border views?
If Dave Trott Foreclosure King spends 1 million and beats Kerry with 55% is that a good outcome compared to Kerry winning?
He buys a seat from a harmless man and than gets painted as a greedy rich man.
Lets say Taylor Griffin beat Walter Jones. Some of his supporters would have voted for an Democrat who was against more wars.
here is the thread for the MOUNTAIN WEST
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3154332/posts?page=2
Yes, your "Foreclosure King" propaganda aside, Trott would no trouble in the GE. Kerry B. would probably lose to the first strong rat he faces just as he lost the 2012 special election.
Walter Jones is crap and his seat is safe so wouldn't have had to worry about a few of his liberal fans voting for a RAT if he had lost.
Scott Walker is not for open borders.
West VA is not the midwest. ;p
About Iowa-3, something I just remembered, a candidate needs 35% to win the primary or else it goes to a party convention, that happened with Steve King’s seat in 2002 which had a tight 4-way primary.
This is funny,
Guess who one of the rats running for MI-11 is, Nancy Skinner! The blond moonbat radio talk show that was one of the minor candidates against Obama in the 2004 rat Senate primary.
She was rat nominee against Joe Knollenberg in 2006 and lost 54%-46%.
http://www.ourcampaigns.com/CandidateDetail.html?CandidateID=19138
She has no chance in the rat primary this time.
that WV seat is so gerrymandered, it starts in the northeast, winds thru the Midwest and ends up in the south.
I don’t know why it’s drawn like that. It’s underwent very few changes during the last 2 remaps, I don’t know why but the rats didn’t try to screw Capito in 2002 for her first reelection.
At this point how the 3 seats are drawn doesn’t matter much, we should have them all. Rahall’s gave the highest% to Romney but is still the most rat locally.
WV is probably the most difficult state in the Union to classify by geographic area. Many place it in the South because of the local accent, but WV never had any slavery to speak of, seceded from VA during the Civil War, never formed part of the Solid South (in fact, it vited strongly Republican until the coal miners unionized a d the New Deal), and has virtually no black population (much less the rural black population characteristic of Southern states).
For this reason, I classify WV as Northeast, aling with bordering MD and PA, but acknowledge that culturally it is an odd duck there as well. And I mean this not only politically, where it is socially conservative and economically populist; if we look at the map of counties where a plurality generically refers to carbonated be erages as “soda,” “pop” or “coke,” only in the counties in WV’s Eastern Panhandle (historically linked to the MD Panhandle, and increasingly Washington, DC exurbs) do residents predominantly use the term “soda” that dominates throughout most of the Northeast, and only a couple of counties have a plurality that uses “coke” as the generic term; for most of WV, the term of choice is “pop,” which is the term used throughout the Midwest (except for the Milwaukee and St. Louis areas, where they inexplicably call it “soda”—must have been a German thing). So WV outside the panhandle is no less “Midwestern” than Western PA.
Forgot the sida vs. pop vs. coke map: http://www.popvssoda.com/
How can we take these lists for anything other than a GOPe joke.
You are Backing a GOPe/business upstart to the Great Justin Amash in Michigan. Amash was THE FIRST to vote No on Beahner’s coronation in 2013
These list MUST be reviewed with great care.
Skinner is a desultory candidate in MI-11, she has no money. The lead Dem candidate is Anil Kumar, who has over $626k.
Actually, for the period 8 years after statehood, starting with the 1870 elections, WV did move hard to the Democrats, more in line with VA & KY. It was essentially a one-party state from 1871-1895. The anti-Cleveland elections of 1894, which were the greatest anti-Democrat landslide until 1920 and never since, turned it hard to the GOP, and it voted more like a Baja Pennsylvania.
With the exception of the 1910 and 1922 elections, it would remain overwhelmingly GOP until 1932, when the party completely collapsed. Only in 1942, when it elected half the federal delegation to DC, and 1946, when it sent a majority, was the last time it has to date, though it will clearly be broken in 2014, and leave just Manchin as the sole Democrat (presuming he doesn’t switch parties, as I have theorized he just might).
BTW, there were pockets of Black population: in the Southernmost county of McDowell, it had enough influence to send a husband and wife, Black Republicans, to the State House of Delegates in the ‘20s. It was a populous mining county back then.
I knew that WV voted Dem for president prior to 1896, but so did all the border states (plus NJ), and I was not aware that it also voted Dem for congressional and state offices.
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