Points taken, and I think your broader comments are probably quite accurate.
It is my guess that Russia is going to have more trouble than people think at even keeping the Crimea quiet - at least without severe repression. Once things settle down and people have trouble converting currency, getting daily goods, acquiring supplies for their businesses, withdrawing money from the bank, etc, we may see a lot of anti Russian activity that will force Putin to devote resources just to keep that one area pacified.
According to a representative of the Crimean Tatars, he was told that if the Tatars did not fall in line, that there would be repercussions and even "disappearances." I think repression is inevitable.
The unit from Crimea was put together in Crimea.....It was formed by volunteers, half or two-thirds of them are citizens of Ukraine. The unit includes people from western and central Ukraine. It also includes local fighters from the region itself.....it was by Sloviansk s invitation the units went to Sloviansk.
Most of the men in the command possess war experience, including former service in the Russian or Ukrainian militaries and tours in Chechnya, Central Asia, the former Yugoslavia and Iraq......
Their unit’s weapons came partly from police facilities they took over in Slovyansk. .... also stripped arms and vehicles from Ukrainian forces they repelled when the Kiev militants tried to enter the area earlier this month.... military hardware his unit gained included about 150 automatic weapons, a few grenade launchers and six infantry combat vehicles.
Russia so far hasn’t supplied them with a single machine gun or bullet...everything was ‘gifted’ by the Ukrainian military and police.
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304788404579526160643349256