[marktwain]

“This can only serve to hurt the blue states. It could end up costing them an election.”

My prediction is this: If it appears that it will cost them an election, they will renege on the compact.

In 2000, I believe that G.W. Bush would have won handily if they had followed this rule. I think Nixon would have won over Kennedy, Obama might even have lost in 2012.

I bet there is some fine print, such as, “The compact only goes into effect once all states sign on” or some such.

[marktwain]

I should read before commenting. The rule is clearly there, as they award the votes to the person getting the popular vote *nationally*, not by state.

[stremba]

Bush lost the popular vote in 2000 and Obama won the popular vote in 2012. How would a law requiring states whose EV’s totaled at least 270 to vote for the popular vote winner throw an election to the loser of that popular vote?

[grundle]

"My prediction is this: If it appears that it will cost them an election, they will renege on the compact."

I think you are correct.