I will vote for Sarah Palin.
...what national election is Palin likely to win...?
2016.
Just you wait. She was ready to run last time. At the very last minute, she backed off.
Granted she will need to stand up and make an extra run to get those of whom, she alienated by backing out at the very last moment, but she will win if she runs.
I am 100% on her side.