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Did he predict North Carolina correctly, I really don't know as I don't follow him. I do know that the Democrats were crowing election day that they had amassed such a huge lead in the early voting that some super majority (80%?) would have to go for Romney to take it from Obama. He was an insider with Obama in '08 as I recall, so I doubt he is the wizard that he is supposed to be. Actually, he's more like the the wizard of Oz the Great and Powerful, he knows all the tricks to fool everybody, especially the likelihood that each Democrat precinct captain is given a quota to meet, no questions asked. If it means importing voters from other places, having people vote twice, you know Holder's not asking, just do the math.

I suspect that your Nate Silver the Dem Insider Theory isn’t too far off the mark. It seems likely that at a minimum he had access to Dem internal polling data.

But did he have insider knowledge of the Dems illegal voting plans? That is the Nate Silver Question of the Day.

It could be. But if not he is smart enough to make his own estimates. The bottom line is that he called all 50 states correctly. And yes that includes North Carolina.