I think it leans towards the rats.....But not by much....But the GOP has held it for 15 years....
Obama won the district twice, 52-48 in 2008 and 51-49 against Romney. I also understand that Sink ran as the Dem candidate for governor three years ago and narrowly lost to Rick Scott so she had name recognition - Stuart Rothenberg had called this in February a “must win” for the Dems and a real blow to Obama if she lost. I also heard (and read) that Jolly’s campaign was a mess, but the Reps did a good job in getting absentee ballots in for today’s election.