[thackney]

Unless the NE Bishop is denounced, defrocked, and expelled

While that may happen, it won't happen quickly.

[Genoa]

Alas, the most likely outcome is that the vote in 2016 will reverse the vote in 2012 that continued the prohibition of same-sex "weddings" and ordinations of practicing homosexuals. Then comes the mass exodus of conservatives (what's left of them) from the UMC.