Liberals tend to exhibit a twisted version of the “battered wife” syndrome. They get beat up, but somehow always blame conservatives. Then, after a few news cycles, they go right back to the elected and appointed liberals who beat them up. They delude themselves by thinking that it will not happen again.
As odd as that thinking is to the conservative mind, Reid may well be right.
Unfortunately I agree with your assessment. The libs have the entire year to spin this through a sympathetic media to people who largely have already been indoctrinated. Every once in a while reality hits them in the face, but then they slide back into their familiar routine.
I think that there is still a good chance that we will keep the House and get Senate back, but it is going to be a fight.