When you call for 16 and 8, and only get 13 and 2, with those 2 barely qualifying, wimpy 1’s, it’s way passed time to evaluate your assumptions.
They just might be agenda driven guesses, void of science.
Global warming debunker Joe Bastardi made similar hurricane season predictions that turned out to be wrong.
Sometimes it just happens like that.
I would bet you dollars to the donuts I'm about to go get that is exactly the problem. Someone else needed a more dire season prediction for their agenda/message and the "scientists" gave it to them. They should be disbanded. They will hopefully learn that science is supposed to be about the search for truth and facts, not a prop for fascists.
They are still having trouble with two day forecasts. Seasonal hurricane forecasts....hopeless. My guess is as good as theirs.
Shouldn’t we all be happy there were no destructive hurricanes hitting the US this year??
They never seem to be accurate with these forecasts. Just stop doing them.
I’m not sure I even understand the point of these forecasts .
Predicting 8 hurricanes for the season, correctly or incorrectly, does nothing to help anyone prepare. If you live on those coastal areas, have what you WILL eventually need, and just keep it stored away until needed.
It is not like being able to predict that a moderate to severe mid-season hurricane will be very likely to make landfall between Jacksonville and Savannah. That would be very useful, if there was a good degree of accuracy. This doesn’t even come near that.
Everyone knows it’s hurricane season, and no matter how many are or aren’t predicted, the only one that matters is the one that hits YOU.