Posted on 11/25/2013 12:55:16 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
Edited on 11/25/2013 2:14:11 PM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]
Why did all the experts get the hurricane season outlook so wrong?
Twelve forecast teams predicted an average of 16 named storms, including eight hurricanes, four major. Yet this season, which ends Saturday, saw only 13 named storms, including two mediocre Category 1 hurricanes.
(Excerpt) Read more at orlandosentinel.com ...
There salaries need to be cut in half. They’d do better the next time.
a guess is a guess...stop calling it science
Blew the hurricane forecasts... is that a pun?
I’ll tell you why - because they say the same thing every year to draw attention (and funding) to themselves; because weather forecasts are so unreliable, that they sometimes fail in predicting the weather for the following day; and that being a weather forecaster is about the only job (other than being an Obama appointee) where one can fail miserably most of the time and still keep one’s job.
and 2006,2007,2008 etc etc
They can’t even come close to making a aomewhat correct four month storm forecast for the east coast.
But they can tell us in detail about the effects of global warming 20 years from now.
Hmmmm....
Because they used the settled “science” of global warming which requires lots of storms.
...or maybe a politically-motivated forecast that was being used to support a wealth distribution scheme fell flat when confronted with actual data.
“..failed to anticipate that cooler waters would infiltrate the Atlantic in the spring...”
Gore’s crowd claimed the opposite.
because the forecasters were influenced by the climate debate and radicals calling for the heated planet - human caused, that is.
They can’t get a small sub-set of climate, the annual Atlantic Hurricane Season right, but they are confident that Global Warming will doom us in the next 50 years.
Once again, they ignored solar activity.
It was the Y2K of weather forecasts.
It's all those damned camels scuffing their feet!
Scientists predict....God laughs.....................
the freakazoids on weatherunderground tried to insist that it was global-climate-change-warming (or what the hell ever they’re calling it these days) that was killing the hurricanes.
the logic went like this; changing climate, warming planet, increased wind sheer ate all the hurricanes.
yes, that’s really what they said. and the morbid bastards actually root for the hurricanes.
Why is this a surprise? Normal local or national forecasters can’t even get it right half the time. We were supposed to get a winter storm here in North Texas, but got a cool rain instead. That was only 8 hours out, much less 3 days.
Strangely enough, *I* foresaw that they were going to be wrong, and likely very wrong. Just like every other one of the past six or eight years that I've been paying attention.
On a related note - or maybe an unrelated note - “Despite all of the tornadoes on Sunday, we are still way below normal when it comes to tornadoes this year across the country. The total is now up to 886. The average, since 2005, is about 1,500 tornadoes. (see chart below)” From: http://addins.kwwl.com/blogs/weather/category/severe-weather
If all else fails, its due to global warming.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.