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There is only one poll that counts and McAuliffe won it.

He won it because the GOP did nothing to help Cuccinelli.
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AND he won it because of there being a purported “Libertarian” spoiler candidate on the ballot. The money that the Obama bundler spent to get that slimy spoiler on the ballot was the most effective expenditure that the progressives made. Because of its effectiveness, they’ll will be doing more of that in the future to siphon votes from conservative candidates.

Whether the GOP helped or not, the main reason that Cuccinelli lost is that VA is a purple state trending solid blue. NoVA, the fastest growing and most wealthy part of the state, votes like NY or CA. Immigration and a huge migration of liberals from the Northeast to the DC area to feed at the government teat have changed the demographics of the state.

30% of the residents of Fairfax County, the largest county in the state, are foreign born compared to 15% in 1990. The vast majority of them are minorities as defined by the USG. Immigrants and minorities vote more than two to one for the Dems.

It is easy to cast blame on how and why Cuccinelli lost, but I know why he lost and it has to do with demography and an improved Democrat machine that gets out the vote. Having been a resident of Fairfax County for the past 34 years, acted as a poll watcher, and been active in Rep politics, I can only say that demography is destiny. We have entered the era of tribal politics and it will be very, very difficult for a Rep to win statewide office in VA for a very long time, if ever.