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The Most Important Election of 2014 (McConnell/Bevin)
blogs.rollcall.com ^ | 10/21/13 | Stuart Rothenburg

Posted on 10/22/2013 5:52:00 AM PDT by cotton1706

So now we know.

The single most important election in the country next year won’t take place in Louisiana, Arkansas, North Carolina or Alaska. And it won’t occur next November, when voters across the country pick the next Congress. It will take place in Kentucky on May 20.

While the general election in the commonwealth — and in other states — could decide which party controls the Senate for President Barack Obama’s final two years in office, the GOP primary will go a long way in determining whether the Republican Party continues its evolution toward uncompromising utopian purity and, eventually, possible irrelevance. I’m not yet certain whether Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes, who will be the eventual Democratic Senate nominee in the Bluegrass State, would have a better shot of defeating Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell or his challenger, businessman Matt Bevin. I can make an argument either way. Remember, this is a state that elected Rand Paul to the Senate rather easily over a very formidable Democrat, Kentucky Attorney General Jack Conway.

I do know that a Bevin victory would send another round of shock waves through the GOP, undermining pragmatic conservatives and producing another round of hand-wringing among party strategists whose job it is to try to win majorities in the House and Senate — and the presidency.

McConnell’s decision to broker a deal with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., to end the government shutdown and raise the debt ceiling drew plenty of praise from members of the political establishment, who believed that a default would be catastrophic for the nation and would only add to the substantial damage that the Republican Party absorbed during the shutdown.

In the minds of many, McConnell had no alternative. Congress’ inability to raise the debt ceiling simply was too risky, so Kentucky’s senior senator did what leaders are expected to do: put their own political future at risk to save the nation.

It’s easy to vote against raising the debt ceiling, especially when your vote doesn’t matter. It’s easy to rant about how “our children” are being buried in debt. Just ask Obama. I’m sure McConnell wasn’t hoping that the buck would stop with him, but it did. And he acted like one of the few adults in the room.

But the folks at Heritage Action for America, the Senate Conservatives Fund, the Club for Growth, FreedomWorks and the Madison Project don’t see things that way.

The Club for Growth urged a “no” vote on the compromise and promised to include the vote in its 2013 scorecard. When the deal was first announced, Drew Ryun, the political director of the Madison Project and the son of former Kansas Rep. Jim Ryun, declared, “Today’s deal shows once again that the Senate Leadership, led by Mitch McConnell, knows nothing but capitulation.”

Capitulation, huh? That’s awfully tough talk from someone who runs an interest group, has no responsibility for the state of the American economy, and apparently doesn’t understand the difference between a suicide attack and an orderly retreat to live to fight another day.

McConnell’s defeat — or the defeat of other pragmatic conservative Republicans whose seats are up next year, including Sens. Pat Roberts of Kansas, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Lamar Alexander of Tennessee and Thad Cochran of Mississippi (if he decides to seek another term) — would embolden additional tea party/libertarian challenges in 2016, further tearing the GOP apart.

Those in the “no compromise” caucus will respond that they are only trying to elect the most conservative candidates in the reddest of states. They understand, they say, that a true “constitutional conservative” can’t win in reliably Democratic states, so they didn’t look for primary challengers to Sen. Susan Collins of Maine or, last time around, Scott P. Brown of Massachusetts.

What they don’t seem to understand is that the increasing clout of people such as Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas and Mike Lee of Utah make it more difficult for Republicans like Sens. Mark S. Kirk of Illinois, Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire and even Rob Portman of Ohio, to hold their seats in competitive or Democratic-leaning states.

In 2012, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee successfully demonized moderate House Republican candidates such as Connecticut’s Andrew Roraback and Massachusetts’ Richard Tisei by running against Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., and tea party influence in the GOP. So a party’s national brand can really matter.

Pragmatic conservatives will almost certainly rally to the defense of McConnell, Graham and others. But they must try to find a way to do so that doesn’t play into the hand of Heritage Action and its allies, who are just itching to run against “the establishment” and its efforts “to hold onto power.”

That won’t be easy to do. And, in fact, it may be impossible.

Given the anger at the grass roots, the Republican civil war may simply have to play itself out. A divided GOP may find a disappointing 2014 and a disastrous 2016 the only medicine available to break its current fever.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; US: Kentucky
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; bevin; elections; kentucky; ky2014; lundergangrimes; mattbevin; mcconnell; mitchmcconnell
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If McConnell is again the nominee, he will lose in November, for he barely won the last time and his support has only gone down. He's counting on republicans rallying to him, but in a race between McConnell and a democrat, McConnell WILL NOT be "the lesser of two evils."
1 posted on 10/22/2013 5:52:00 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Mitch Mc Connell

I can’t even look at the FREAK! He reminders me of Halloween!! The FREAK MASTER!

FREAK
FREAK
FREAK
Thats all I can think of when I see his ugly face!

I will take this one from Beyonce

His supporters are not Mitches, they are Bit..........


2 posted on 10/22/2013 5:56:37 AM PDT by chicagolady (Mexican Elite say: EXPORT Poverty Let the American Taxpayer foot the bill !)
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To: cotton1706

I sure hope that Bevin is Conservative. I haven’t heard enough about him.

I’m ready to ditch Mitch because he caved so easily. When he was talking to Harry Reid he was quivering like the Scarecrow talking to the Great and Powerful OZ.


3 posted on 10/22/2013 5:57:35 AM PDT by PATRIOT1876
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To: cotton1706

“uncompromising utopian purity”

the Democrats are already 100% pure communist dictators, why shouldnt’ the Republicans quit being the doormat party and get religion too?


4 posted on 10/22/2013 5:58:32 AM PDT by yldstrk (My heroes have always been cowboys)
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To: cotton1706
Ah yes, another article by a democRAT self loathing Jew trying to give advice to the Republican base. We better elect MORE RINO moderates if we know whats good for us. You notice that there are never any articles about how democrats have to elect more moderates?
5 posted on 10/22/2013 5:58:54 AM PDT by Flavious_Maximus
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To: Flavious_Maximus

So-called “pragmatism” by Repubs got this country to where it is. This article reflects the diseased mind of the quivering quisling writer.


6 posted on 10/22/2013 6:01:02 AM PDT by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp?)
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To: cotton1706; Impy; NFHale; BillyBoy; fieldmarshaldj

I put Grahamnesty up there too as #1, knocking him off would cause his Batman McCain some well deserved pain.

Back in ~ 2011 McConnell boasted that his #1 job was to make sure that Obama WAS NOT reelected. This was obviously for those Republicans who are impressed by empty talk and no results.

He failed at his #1. Simple as that.


7 posted on 10/22/2013 6:02:25 AM PDT by sickoflibs (To GOP : Any path to US Citizenship IS putting them ahead in line. Stop lying about your position)
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To: cotton1706
Pragmatic conservatives

I love (sarc) all these new “qualifiers”, needed to try and disguise RINOs as Conservatives.

If you have to “add” anything to “Conservative” then you aren't one.

If McConnell wins his primary, vote for the Democrat. FYMM!

8 posted on 10/22/2013 6:02:46 AM PDT by faucetman ( Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: cotton1706
Rewind tape! Time to start lecturing conservatives that if they'll just hold their noses one more time and vote for the RINO, things will get better. They really, really mean it this time.
9 posted on 10/22/2013 6:02:49 AM PDT by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: cotton1706

Is there a like button to donate to Mitch the Dems Biyatch opponent in the next primaries ?


10 posted on 10/22/2013 6:04:06 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: cotton1706

Agree 100%. One thing that is over looked here and elsewhere is the fact that the GOP base IS the Tea Party. Just get out the vote....nuff said. Does Ky have open primaries?


11 posted on 10/22/2013 6:04:59 AM PDT by rrrod (at home in Medellin Colombia)
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To: chicagolady

” His supporters are not Mitches, they are Bit “ someone’s gotta say it..... Biyatches...


12 posted on 10/22/2013 6:05:45 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: cotton1706

The only hope the Republican party has of surviving is to join the Tea Party.

Voting in faux Republicans who vote with Democrats will never strengthen the party.

I believe most of us have had a bellyful of voting for politicians who say one thing and do another.


13 posted on 10/22/2013 6:05:49 AM PDT by Venturer (Keep Obama and you aint seen nothing yet.)
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To: faucetman

“pragmatic conservatives”, “reasonable republicans”, “thoughtful republicans”, or as Chuck Schumer says, “our republicans.”

By whatever name they are called, we know what they are: they are republicans who vote with democrats, protect democrats, give cover to democrats, or actually ARE democrats (Specter, Chafee, Crist).

Conservatives are republicans, moderates are democrats and democrats are democrats.


14 posted on 10/22/2013 6:07:17 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: American Constitutionalist

http://mattbevin.com/


15 posted on 10/22/2013 6:08:23 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Thank you


16 posted on 10/22/2013 6:08:54 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: cotton1706

Another Democrat campaigning for McConnell. That tells you everything you need to know about that old RINO.


17 posted on 10/22/2013 6:10:13 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: cotton1706

This guy needs to be vetted before we vote or send him money to run against Mitch the Beyatch in Kentucky’s primaries next year.


18 posted on 10/22/2013 6:10:17 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: cotton1706; SunkenCiv

I knew the author of this article couldn’t be taken seriously when he said the goal of mainstream Republicans “is to try to win majorities in the House and Senate — and the presidency.” They haven’t done that in a long time, at least since 2004. Instead, their goal is more like getting along with and imitating the Democrats. And did anyone else notice that nothing was said about the $2 billion “Kentucky kickback” McConnell got in return?


19 posted on 10/22/2013 6:15:00 AM PDT by Berosus (I wish I had as much faith in God as liberals have in government.)
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To: rrrod

No. I registered as an independent when I moved to Kentucky in 2006, being fed up with both parties. Guess I’ll have to hold my nose and register as a Republican before the primary.


20 posted on 10/22/2013 6:16:57 AM PDT by Berosus (I wish I had as much faith in God as liberals have in government.)
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