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Two Minutes to Midnight (no, not Obamacare -- the next IPCC global warming assessment)
Climate Audit ^ | Sept. 24, 2013 | Steve McIntyre

Posted on 09/25/2013 1:15:19 PM PDT by edwinland

There is much in the news about how IPCC will handle the growing discrepancy between models and observations – long an issue at skeptic blogs. According to BBC News, a Dutch participant says that “governments are demanding a clear explanation” of the discrepancy.

...

According to Der Spiegal (h/t Judy Curry), Joachim Marotzke, has promised that the IPCC will “address this subject head-on”.

...

Unfortunately, as Judy Curry recently observed, it is now two minutes to midnight in the IPCC timetable. It is now far too late to attempt to craft an assessment of a complicated issue.

Efforts to craft an assessment on the run are further complicated by past failures and neglect both by IPCC and the wider climate science community. In its two Draft Reports sent to external scientific review, while IPCC mostly evaded the problem, its perfunctory assessment of the developing discrepancy between models and observations, such as it was, included major errors and misrepresentations, all tending in the direction of minimizing the issue.

IPCC has a further dilemma in coopering up an assessment on the run. Although the topic is obviously an important one, it received negligible coverage in academic literature, especially prior to the IPCC publication cutoff date, and the few relevant peer-reviewed articles ... are unconvincing.

The IPCC assessment has also been compromised by gatekeeping by fellow-traveler journal editors, who have routinely rejected skeptic articles on the discrepancy between models and observations or pointing out the weaknesses of articles now relied upon by IPCC. Despite exposure of these practices in Climategate, little has changed. Had the skeptic articles been published ... the resulting debate would have been more robust and IPCC would have had more to draw on its present assessment dilemma. As it is, IPCC is surely in a well-earned quandary.

(Excerpt) Read more at climateaudit.org ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climate; globalwarming; ipcc; mcintyre
This is long but worth reading. The basic gist of the article is that the government climate research community has been ignoring the discrepancy between predicted temperatures (hot and getting hotter) and actual temperatures (which have been flat for 15+ years). Now, suddenly, right before their big new UN assessment of climate science, they are promising to address the problem "head on" but in reality they are just adding a few hand-waving paragraphs to a conclusion that was baked long before they even started writing it.
1 posted on 09/25/2013 1:15:19 PM PDT by edwinland
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To: edwinland

They are just going to dig in deeper with their alarmist nonsense. There will be more shouting about “settled” “science” and more namecalling hurled against their opposition. They have nothing else.


2 posted on 09/25/2013 1:43:34 PM PDT by colorado tanker
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To: edwinland

Steve McIntyre has done more to set the climate debate straight than all the Nobel Prize winning Climate “Scientists” put together.


3 posted on 09/25/2013 1:49:18 PM PDT by Incorrigible (If I lead, follow me; If I pause, push me; If I retreat, kill me.)
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To: Incorrigible

Agreed!


4 posted on 09/25/2013 2:18:35 PM PDT by edwinland
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To: Incorrigible

Don’t forget Anthony Watts (of www.wattsupwiththat.com)! Between the two of them, I can find facts on just about any climate scam a liberal brings up...


5 posted on 09/25/2013 2:38:00 PM PDT by Charles H. (The_r0nin) (Hwaet! Lar bith maest hord, sothlice!)
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To: edwinland

It’s hard to fight liars and propagandists.

The fact that there is a “discrepancy” is why there was a “leaked” report weeks in advance. Once the final report comes out, it will already be “old news”, we must now “move on” and responsible governments should now be about the goal of taking swift action to prevent global climate change once we get past this “pause”, don’tcha know.

The only headline from the msm will be the scientific community is more convinced than ever that there is global climate change and that it is caused by human activity.


6 posted on 09/25/2013 3:20:39 PM PDT by Let_It_Be_So (Once you see the Truth, you cannot "unsee" it, no matter how hard you may try.)
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