He dead wrong about the WI Gov recall .
Dead wrong about Rick Scott losing.
He was dead wrong the GOP taking the House and at he last second change his analysis because he knew it was pure propaganda .
But, He is an Dedicated Obama bot who got insider information about 2008 from the Obama bot campaign people.
Fraud.
"Republicans are well-positioned to win control of the House of Representatives in tomorrows elections, and quite possibly to achieve the largest gain made by either party in a Congressional election since World War II. Our forecasting model, which is based on a consensus of indicators including generic ballot polling, polling of local districts, expert forecasts, and fund-raising data, now predicts an average Republican gain of 54 seats (up one from 53 seats in last nights forecast), and a median Republican gain of 55 seats. These figures would exceed the 52 seats that Republicans won from Democrats in the 1994 midterms. Moreover, given the exceptionally large number of seats in play, the Republicans gains could be significantly higher; they have better than a one-in-three chance of winning at least 60 seats, a one-in-six chance of winning at least 70 seats, and have some realistic chance of a gain exceeding 80 seats, according to the model."
Changing his prediction at the last second because he knew it was "propaganda" as you say is not at all characteristic of Silver. It does, however, hew pretty closely to what happened at Gallup last year (not that they knew it was propaganda, but could see they were dead dead wrong). Check out Unskewed Polls for a clown who changed his prediction dramatically at the last second because he knew he was peddling bs,