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Lessons From a Comeback (Krugman on California)
ny times ^ | march31,2013 | Paul Krugman

Posted on 04/01/2013 12:04:14 PM PDT by lowbridge

As a result, the reign of the Governator aside, California has been solidly Democratic since the late 1990s. And ever since the political balance shifted, conservatives have declared the state doomed. Their specifics keep changing, but the moral is always the same: liberal do-gooders are bringing California to its knees.

A dozen years ago, the state was supposedly doomed by all its environmentalists. You see, the eco-freaks were blocking power plants, and the result was crippling blackouts and soaring power prices. “The country’s showcase state,” gloated The Wall Street Journal, “has come to look like a hapless banana republic.”

But a funny thing happened on the road to collapse: it turned out that the main culprit in the electricity crisis was deregulation, which opened the door for ruthless market manipulation. When the market manipulation went away, so did the blackouts.

Undeterred, a few years later conservatives found another line of attack. This time they said that liberal big spending and overpaid public employees were bringing on collapse.

And the state has indeed spent the past few years facing a severe fiscal crunch. When the national housing bubble burst, California was hit especially hard, and the combined effects of the plunge in home prices and the economic downturn led to sharply reduced revenue. Once more there were gleeful pronouncements of imminent doom: California, declared one pundit after another, is America’s Greece.

Again, however, reports of the state’s demise proved premature. Unemployment in California remains high, but it’s coming down — and there’s a projected budget surplus, in part because the implosion of the state’s Republican Party finally gave Democrats a big enough political advantage to push through some desperately needed tax increases. Far from presiding over a Greek-style crisis, Gov. Jerry Brown is proclaiming a comeback.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; krugman; paulkrugman
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1 posted on 04/01/2013 12:04:14 PM PDT by lowbridge
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To: lowbridge
Far from presiding over a Greek-style crisis, Gov. Jerry Brown is proclaiming a comeback.

Proclaiming such does not make it such. Until the migration of businesses and families reverses back into the state, it's still bleeding.

2 posted on 04/01/2013 12:06:07 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

That boys “bout as sharp as a bowling ball”....!


3 posted on 04/01/2013 12:12:42 PM PDT by swampfox101 (l)
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To: dirtboy

(there’s a projected budget surplus, in part because the implosion of the state’s Republican Party finally gave Democrats a big enough political advantage to push through some desperately needed tax increases).

LOL! There’s always a projected surplus from tax increases. It’s too bad that in reality what is collected is almost always less than what was expected, and the “projected” surplus evaporates.


4 posted on 04/01/2013 12:12:59 PM PDT by winner3000
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To: lowbridge
I think the NY Times conspired with the Nobel Prize people to create "credibility" for the Globalists. Every times the World Governments try to screw the people, "Nobel Prize Winner" Krugman writes an article in support of their actions.

All the morons hear about it and think "well if a Nobel Prize winner says it's okay, then it must be okay!"

5 posted on 04/01/2013 12:13:48 PM PDT by Cowboy Bob (Democrats: Robbing Peter to buy Paul's vote.)
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To: lowbridge

Sure, the state will turn a “surplus” as a result of tax hikes, but that’s the shock result of a one-year dynamic. Things won’t be quite so rosy in the coming years, as businesses still depart that state.


6 posted on 04/01/2013 12:13:54 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Gun control: Steady firm grip, target within sights, squeeze the trigger slowly...)
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To: lowbridge

Finally! A Krugman article to the contrary! Now I know for sure CA is doomed.


7 posted on 04/01/2013 12:15:18 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (I am a dissident. Will you join me? My name is John....)
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To: lowbridge
Gov. Jerry Brown is proclaiming a comeback.

Compared to last year, so are the NBA's Charlotte Bobcats. What's the point?

8 posted on 04/01/2013 12:16:00 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Gun control: Steady firm grip, target within sights, squeeze the trigger slowly...)
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To: dirtboy
bite-me and obummer have declared SUMMER OF RECOVERY so many times that Summer refuses to come any longer. Lies mean nothing but that the person speaking them is a liar.

LLS

9 posted on 04/01/2013 12:16:40 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (FROM MY COLD, DEAD HANDS!)
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To: lowbridge

It hasn’t collapsed yet, so obviously never will.


10 posted on 04/01/2013 12:16:50 PM PDT by Tzimisce (The American Revolution began when the British attempted to disarm the Colonists.)
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To: lowbridge

And if this agenda is successful


If.

I heard it from some guy regarding people predicting collapses that even if they are right, they almost always get the timing way off. It always takes longer than they think in will before the unravelling begins. But once it does, it unravels at a pace far faster than they predicted.

We’ll see. I personally think the story is rubbish. It’s like saying, sure your car is only firing on half its cylinders and reverse doesn’t work and it has bald tires, but hey, we were able to touch up that rust spot.


11 posted on 04/01/2013 12:17:24 PM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: lowbridge

Krugman is a complete moron. How about the fact that California has a negative net worth in excess of $100 Billion, Paulie?


12 posted on 04/01/2013 12:17:37 PM PDT by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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To: lowbridge

“...Gov. Jerry Brown is proclaiming a comeback...”

That’s why they call him moonbeam....


13 posted on 04/01/2013 12:17:59 PM PDT by illiac (If we don't change directions soon, we'll get where we're going)
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To: lowbridge

We don’t need lifeboats: the ship is completely unsinkable.


14 posted on 04/01/2013 12:19:44 PM PDT by Tzimisce (The American Revolution began when the British attempted to disarm the Colonists.)
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To: Tzimisce

15 posted on 04/01/2013 12:21:00 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: winner3000
LOL! There’s always a projected surplus from tax increases. It’s too bad that in reality what is collected is almost always less than what was expected, and the “projected” surplus evaporates.

Well, the tax increases is a SHORT TERM fix that will soon evaporate once all of the high-tax-payers leave the state.
16 posted on 04/01/2013 12:21:23 PM PDT by Eagle of Liberty (Be the Enemy Within the Enemy Within...)
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To: lowbridge

Krugman has a serious credibility gap.

movies have long left california. They only stay for the tax credits.

Silicone valey is just following the only broker world before decentralization. Wallstreet is a museum not an actual trading location.

California has a net loss in producers and is being replaced by illegal aliens and ganbangers.

Where does krugman live? NYC? City of the gutless, and metropolis of the sheep.


17 posted on 04/01/2013 12:25:13 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: dirtboy

someone needs to post that picture of chamberlain declaring PEACE IN OUR TIME!

rofl


18 posted on 04/01/2013 12:27:07 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: lowbridge
finally gave Democrats a big enough political advantage to push through some desperately needed tax increases....

Sounds like 13% is just a start, eh?

19 posted on 04/01/2013 12:27:12 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: lowbridge

Krugman is the Dick Morris of economics.

Everything he predicts will NEVER come true.


20 posted on 04/01/2013 12:27:30 PM PDT by TheThirdRuffian (RINOS like Romney, McCain, Dole are sure losers. No more!)
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