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To: Eric in the Ozarks

True. But I look at whether they are likely to tear down barriers or erect more.

I suspect they are more likely to tear down barriers. Compare that to the Chinese, who, while they’ve had a great run, cannot continue down their current path because their barriers are high, getting higher, and their nationalism and lack of law is going to hurt.

So, I think about likely trajectories. I see more reason for hope of improvement in India than most places on the planet. Everyone else seems to be going to heck in a hand-cart as fast as possible.

That’s backed by the full faith and credit of Uncle Milties unvarnished and unprofessional opinion.


4 posted on 12/11/2012 2:19:01 PM PST by Uncle Miltie (BOHICA eGOP!)
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To: Uncle Miltie
Compare that to the Chinese, who, while they’ve had a great run, cannot continue down their current path because their barriers are high, getting higher, and their nationalism and lack of law is going to hurt.

China's internal barriers are almost non-existent. Any Chinese citizen can start an instant pop-up business tomorrow with almost no paperwork. The government only gets interested when the company gets big enough to owe a lot of tax. An expat I spoke to in Shenzhen told me the Chinese economy has become unbelievably free over the last decade - that by comparison Hong Kong, routinely ranked as the most business-friendly country in the world, requires massive amounts of red tape to do anything.

China's barriers are erected against foreign companies and nationals who are trying to do business there - and those barriers are indeed unnecessarily steep and protectionist. But despite their problems with law and corruption, they still have a big edge over India right now due to their laissez-faire internal policies - policies India is unlikely to emulate for a generation.

6 posted on 12/11/2012 2:31:01 PM PST by Mr. Jeeves (CTRL-GALT-DELETE)
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