My prediction is Obama around 64.5 million and Romney around 60.5 million. Around 126 million nation wide counting all third party candidates in with the mix. A drop of of around 5 million from 2008. Almost all the drop off will be from Obama's vote total.
The big Republican drop is from 2004 to 2008. The big Democrat drop is from 2008 to 2012.
Meaning what, exactly?
Voter fraud is so rampant that unless the Republicans start putting violators in jail we will never see a Republican president again.
Thanks for the post, I’ve been trying to point this out for a week but people are so desperate to prove that people stayed home because Romney was a RINO that they are impervious to reason.
I’ve done a full spreadsheet and estimated Romney ends up with about 63 million votes, actually (something is really wrong with the Washington State totals, says 55% of the vote in, but projecting that to 100% gives way too many votes).
The swing states, the last I heard, is about 338 thousand difference. You throw in voter fraud which pushes Obama over the top.
Not to mention the Romney votes that never were counted.
Still, counting all the votes of people who died since 2008, the numbers should be larger!
There was no significant coalition partner change.
The Democrats got a double whammy this year. They gained more Democrat votes from the crowd who usually don't vote back in 2008, but they suffered the same very real demographic losses in 2012 ~ but the non-voters reverted. At the same time Democrats have been failing to propagate at the rate we would have expected in the 1970-1987 period for NE Republicans because they are really in deep in this abortion thing of theirs.
If you crank in the 35 million dead black babies and the 20 million dead white babies, heavily centered on the Northeast into all the figures, you'd see Rooseveltian majorities for the Democrats ~ out as far as you could perceive. Relative growth among Hispanics would seem negligible.
Our problem in getting Republicans elected at the top is a short term one ~ this year wasn't it, but if the Democrats suffer another loss like this one, they'll be showing up with vote totals in the low 50 millions.
BTW, starting from relatively equal numbers the Democrats are showing tremendous losses in numbers way beyond what Republicans have ever seen ~ kinda' sorta' buried in this year's victory, but they don't own the House. Their higher death rates in the aging cohorts, plus their higher abortion rates, guarantee them political oblivion in a decade or less.
Folks who want to split the Republican party might be well advised to begin preparing for that now. One of the factions can take over the space formerly occupied by the Democrats.
CA has only reported 71% with the total vote so far about 10 million. There should be 4.2 million more votes from CA alone. Obama should get at least 60% of those. Ohio has only reported 90% and NY 86%. WA is still at 55% and OR 75%. AZ at 80%.