[profit_guy]

"Does anyone know Intrade’s success rate on these things?"

A. They had Kerry at 71% four hours before the polls closed in 2004

B. They were at 70-75% that the USSC would overturn Obamacare

C. They are basing their numbers off BS polls

D. OR, and I know this sounds conspiratorial, but I wouldn't put it past the Dems to blow a few million dollars to try to skew Intrade in hopes of effecting the election

[Crimson Elephant]

What possible reason is there to pay out early? There is no advantage to doing so. That makes less than any sense. It is something out of Orwell.

[Heavyrunner]

Thanks man...That does make me feel better.