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I will leave it to others to compare to 2008.
1 posted on 11/06/2012 11:04:52 AM PST by Smogger
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To: Smogger

Do we believe these numbers?


2 posted on 11/06/2012 11:08:05 AM PST by TEXOKIE (Nobody made a greater mistake than he who did nothing because he could do only a little. EdmondBurke)
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To: Smogger

This is devastating to Obama. Stick a fork in him, he’s done! The GOP has the early voting advantage and all the reports in the last few weeks were way off!

As are the polls.


3 posted on 11/06/2012 11:08:13 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Smogger

Since this is from AP, I am not interested.


4 posted on 11/06/2012 11:08:13 AM PST by dforest
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To: Smogger

BS too early for data to be released yet


5 posted on 11/06/2012 11:08:24 AM PST by Gasshog
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To: Smogger

NC and IA look troubling.


6 posted on 11/06/2012 11:08:26 AM PST by Lou Budvis (I'm voting AB0/RYAN)
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To: Smogger

What about independants? The Republicans haven’t got off work yet!


7 posted on 11/06/2012 11:09:48 AM PST by trussell (I carry because...When seconds count between life and death, the police are only minutes away)
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To: Smogger

What is the story in North Carolina? Someone from there know? Is there a large Rep turn out on election day to catch up?


8 posted on 11/06/2012 11:10:06 AM PST by WILLIALAL
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To: Smogger
Those are absolutely phony numbers, and they don't have that kind of data available yet.

How can EVERY one have that kind of Dem participation, out-voting Republicans in 100% of the cases (if I'm reading their numbers correctly?)

12 posted on 11/06/2012 11:11:09 AM PST by traditional1 (Don't gotsta worry 'bout no mo'gage, don't gotsta worry 'bout no gas; Obama gonna take care o' me!)
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To: Smogger
I don't believe it. My understanding is that it is illegal to release Ohio early voting results until the polls close so it is unlikely AP has them.

Another thing to keep in mind, AP dropped 19 states from the exit polling this cycle: 15 red states and 4 blue. Another reason exit polls will be bogus.

13 posted on 11/06/2012 11:11:12 AM PST by Pete (Check out an 11 year old entrepreneur: boodlies.com)
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To: Smogger
Just Do It!
Show Up And VOTE.

Vote Romney/Ryan

14 posted on 11/06/2012 11:11:13 AM PST by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: Smogger

Just read this line on Facebook:

Vote like you’re stranded in Benghazi and Obama is your lifeline.

Love it!


17 posted on 11/06/2012 11:11:35 AM PST by ShasheMac
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To: Smogger

These numbers look wrong.


19 posted on 11/06/2012 11:12:25 AM PST by Thane_Banquo (Support hate crime laws: Because some victims are more equal than others.)
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To: Smogger

FYI.....

These mid-day exit polls have proven never to be accurate and favor the left.

Remember that.


21 posted on 11/06/2012 11:13:17 AM PST by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: Smogger

Wait a minute!!!!Why are the number of Democrat voters given in numbers, “1.6 million Democrats”, then the Republican figures given in percentages, “43%”? Huh? Percentage of what? There is no way to extrapolate valid information from the way these figures are being reported, yet everyone posting so far sees “trends”.
Am I missing something?


22 posted on 11/06/2012 11:13:30 AM PST by Wiser now (Socialism does not eliminate poverty, it guarantees it.)
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To: Smogger

Those Ohio votes are NOT what the official Secretary of State of Ohio released... dims waaaaaay down so I do not trust the Forida numbers either.

LLS


23 posted on 11/06/2012 11:13:30 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: Smogger
The polls right now are irrelevant. Democrats can vote any time of day they want. Republicans usually have to wait until they get out of work - especially if there's going to be a line.

The big Republican numbers always come in after work hours. Remember the Bush/kerry early numbers? kerry was way ahead until those who work could get out and vote.

31 posted on 11/06/2012 11:15:08 AM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: Smogger

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

2008 Numbers:

Florida had 4.4 million early votes (45.6% D, 37.3% R; +8.3% D).

North Carolina has 2.6 million votes (51.4% D, 30.2% R; +21.2% D). 2012 early voting looks similar to 2004 figures precentage wise.

Iowa had 482,000 votes (46.9% D, 28.9% R; +18% D).

Colorado had 1.7 million votes (37.7% D, 35.9% R; +1.8% D)


33 posted on 11/06/2012 11:15:30 AM PST by smith5460
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To: Smogger

For those like me who couldn’t make heads or tails of the OP stat table, it’s misformatted at least in my browser. go to the original article and it will make sense.


35 posted on 11/06/2012 11:17:00 AM PST by Usagi_yo
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To: Smogger

Florida. 2008 D+9. 2012 D+3.
Ohio. Does not have partisan registration, so I have a WTF issue with these numbers.
North Carolina: Was D+11. Now D+9. Mildly troubling.
Iowa: Was D+18. Now D+11. Just about good enough, if the same sort of shift happens among in-person voting.
Colorado: Was D+2. Now R+2.


38 posted on 11/06/2012 11:18:21 AM PST by dangus
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To: Smogger
From the article:

The Associated Press is reporting estimated tallies of those who voted by mailing in their early voting ballot or who voted at special polling places set up to accommodate early voters. The tallies represent how many Democrats and how many Republicans voted early in various states. Please note these are not exact, official figures and do not reflect specific, individual votes, as any voter can vote for any candidate regardless of affiliation.

In other words AP speculation and spin.

42 posted on 11/06/2012 11:18:47 AM PST by Tijeras_Slim
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