Do we believe these numbers?
This is devastating to Obama. Stick a fork in him, he’s done! The GOP has the early voting advantage and all the reports in the last few weeks were way off!
As are the polls.
Since this is from AP, I am not interested.
BS too early for data to be released yet
NC and IA look troubling.
What about independants? The Republicans haven’t got off work yet!
What is the story in North Carolina? Someone from there know? Is there a large Rep turn out on election day to catch up?
How can EVERY one have that kind of Dem participation, out-voting Republicans in 100% of the cases (if I'm reading their numbers correctly?)
Another thing to keep in mind, AP dropped 19 states from the exit polling this cycle: 15 red states and 4 blue. Another reason exit polls will be bogus.
Just read this line on Facebook:
Vote like you’re stranded in Benghazi and Obama is your lifeline.
Love it!
These numbers look wrong.
FYI.....
These mid-day exit polls have proven never to be accurate and favor the left.
Remember that.
Wait a minute!!!!Why are the number of Democrat voters given in numbers, “1.6 million Democrats”, then the Republican figures given in percentages, “43%”? Huh? Percentage of what? There is no way to extrapolate valid information from the way these figures are being reported, yet everyone posting so far sees “trends”.
Am I missing something?
Those Ohio votes are NOT what the official Secretary of State of Ohio released... dims waaaaaay down so I do not trust the Forida numbers either.
LLS
The big Republican numbers always come in after work hours. Remember the Bush/kerry early numbers? kerry was way ahead until those who work could get out and vote.
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html
2008 Numbers:
Florida had 4.4 million early votes (45.6% D, 37.3% R; +8.3% D).
North Carolina has 2.6 million votes (51.4% D, 30.2% R; +21.2% D). 2012 early voting looks similar to 2004 figures precentage wise.
Iowa had 482,000 votes (46.9% D, 28.9% R; +18% D).
Colorado had 1.7 million votes (37.7% D, 35.9% R; +1.8% D)
For those like me who couldn’t make heads or tails of the OP stat table, it’s misformatted at least in my browser. go to the original article and it will make sense.
Florida. 2008 D+9. 2012 D+3.
Ohio. Does not have partisan registration, so I have a WTF issue with these numbers.
North Carolina: Was D+11. Now D+9. Mildly troubling.
Iowa: Was D+18. Now D+11. Just about good enough, if the same sort of shift happens among in-person voting.
Colorado: Was D+2. Now R+2.
The Associated Press is reporting estimated tallies of those who voted by mailing in their early voting ballot or who voted at special polling places set up to accommodate early voters. The tallies represent how many Democrats and how many Republicans voted early in various states. Please note these are not exact, official figures and do not reflect specific, individual votes, as any voter can vote for any candidate regardless of affiliation.
In other words AP speculation and spin.