Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Poll predicts fewer voters in California than four years ago
Sacramento Bee ^ | 11/6/12 | Laurel Rosenhall

Posted on 11/06/2012 10:34:17 AM PST by SmithL

The number of Californians who vote in today's election is expected to drop by 1 million compared with four years ago, despite a record number of registered voters in the state.

And for the first time in state history, more votes are expected to be cast by mail than at a precinct.

Those are predictions of a Field Poll released today, which says 69.9 percent of registered California voters, or nearly 12.75 million people, are likely to turn out for this year's general election, compared with 79.4 percent in the 2008 contest between Sen. John McCain and then-Sen. Barack Obama.

"I believe the potential election of the United States' first African American president, who had really captured Californians, led to a really unusual turnout," said Field Poll Director Mark DiCamillo.

"This time there is just not as much excitement. We've made history."

(Excerpt) Read more at sacbee.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: election2012

1 posted on 11/06/2012 10:34:21 AM PST by SmithL
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SmithL

Lower turnout generally means fewer Democrats and about the same Republicans.

The way citizens are registered makes a big difference in turnout. If you’re cornered on the way into a market to be registered as a Democrat, are you going to be as likely to show up and vote as you would be if you sought out a way to register Republican?

Republican voters go to the polls. Conservatives always show up.

So if California’s expected vote is down 10%, guess what. That means that the Democrat candidates can expect about 10% less vote than last time. And the Conservative candidates can expect about the same vote, perhaps a bit less.

There’s going to be a lot of whining tonight. Conservative causes are gong to show a lot better than the Left is going to like.

Heh, heh, heh...


2 posted on 11/06/2012 10:41:28 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Yes Toto, it's over!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

“United States’ first African American president, who had really captured Californians”

Hmmm.....if Obama had really Captured “them” they would still be enthusiastic ?


3 posted on 11/06/2012 10:42:23 AM PST by 4Speed
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

I know we will go blue, but really hoping these numbers help Prop 32 pass.


4 posted on 11/06/2012 10:47:55 AM PST by FightforFreedomCA (The most dangerous place to be today is between a Republican voter and a polling booth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

CA Obamatron voters know O is going to lose so there isn’t much urgency to turn out for him.


5 posted on 11/06/2012 10:49:15 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: FightforFreedomCA
"I know we will go blue, but really hoping these numbers help Prop 32 pass."

I believe that would be the case if the low turnout holds. I also think that Prop 30 would fail with the low turnout.

6 posted on 11/06/2012 10:53:14 AM PST by CatOwner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: FightforFreedomCA

Well, it should help a lot of the initiatives from our perspective. Here’s to that...


7 posted on 11/06/2012 10:58:10 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Yes Toto, it's over!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

Thousands moved back to Mexico.


8 posted on 11/06/2012 11:02:58 AM PST by Vinnie (A)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

I think Chris Matthews is the model for what’s taking place nationwide.

The tingle is gone...

The perception by the Left is that Obama didn’t do enough for them. Yeah, that beats me too, but I think it’s true.

Gonna be a lot of Leftist sitting on their hands today in California.


9 posted on 11/06/2012 11:03:21 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Yes Toto, it's over!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

I think Chris Matthews is the model for what’s taking place nationwide.

The tingle is gone...

The perception by the Left is that Obama didn’t do enough for them. Yeah, that beats me too, but I think it’s true.

Gonna be a lot of Leftists sitting on their hands today in California.


10 posted on 11/06/2012 11:03:27 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Oh oh oh... ooooh ooooh. Yes Toto, it's over!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

Just voted in Whittier California. There was only ONE other person in the polling place and it was my son. The kind old lady gave me a little pack of Whoppers when I checked in and then I went into the booth and SCORED, the person that voted before I did accidentally left their little Abba Zabba for me. Sweetness voting in CA


11 posted on 11/06/2012 11:06:57 AM PST by 12chachacha
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

I hope it’s people like the surly black guy who called Michael Medved yesterday and said - ‘If Obama doesn’t win, I’m never voting again. The elections are rigged. All politics is for shinola.’ Bring it on.


12 posted on 11/06/2012 11:07:20 AM PST by bboop (does not suffer fools gladly)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Vinnie

Actually, over the past few years, large numbers of blacks left CA for states in the east and south....Like Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio, Texas etc.

The stats clearly back this up.


13 posted on 11/06/2012 11:08:00 AM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Vinnie

From 2000 to 2010, many Southern cities — particularly in Florida, Georgia and North Carolina — saw their African-American populations increase by at least 20 percent and, in some cases, a considerably higher percentage.

http://nashvillecitypaper.com/content/city-news/nashville-trails-many-southern-cities-black-population-rise


14 posted on 11/06/2012 11:20:55 AM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

I’m telling you, California is in play!


15 posted on 11/06/2012 11:24:18 AM PST by null and void (Day 1386 of the Obama hostage crisis - Barack Hussein Obama an enemy BOTH foreign AND domestic)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: null and void

Me and my friend just cancelled out the two black mamas votes that were in front of us. ;)


16 posted on 11/06/2012 11:41:20 AM PST by sheana
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: sheana

You’re assuming they didn’t vote for Mitt...


17 posted on 11/06/2012 12:36:32 PM PST by null and void (Day 1386 of the Obama hostage crisis - Barack Hussein Obama an enemy BOTH foreign AND domestic)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

Just voted in Reseda in the San Fernando valley turn out at two polling places was very light. Equal to normal local issue voting. in 2008 there were about a hundred voters(only seen one last time.) This time at most 20 voters at each polling location.


18 posted on 11/06/2012 1:07:07 PM PST by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: null and void
I’m telling you, California is in play!

I hope so. I had to stand in line and wait for the first time, but my entire little rural town is conservative.

19 posted on 11/06/2012 1:17:47 PM PST by SCalGal (Friends don't let friends donate to H$U$, A$PCA, or PETA.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Steve Van Doorn

Woodland Hills light turn out at 9:30, warm and clear. In 2008 there was a line out the door, cool and drizzle.


20 posted on 11/06/2012 1:45:57 PM PST by UpInArms (without failure there's no success only slavery)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

“Republican voters go to the polls. Conservatives always show up.”

Except they didnt.

The REAL election shocker was this: Fewer people voted for Romney than McCain. 56 million versus 59 million.

Obama had a 10 million vote dropoff.

Why didnt we get those McCain voters ALL out to vote?!?

If Romney had gotten the same number of votes as McCain, he’d have been elected.


21 posted on 11/07/2012 8:25:26 AM PST by WOSG (REPEAL AND REPLACE OBAMA. He stole America’s promise!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: WOSG

That was the real shocker for me too.


22 posted on 11/07/2012 10:41:53 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Obama 07/12/2013: Things are tough, but the prior administration handed me a terrible situation.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson