“Nate Silver is going to get his ass handed to him today.”
I hope so. But at the same time, I ask myself “He’s so high on an Obama win. What does he know that the other pollsters don’t?”
He doesn’t know Jack Schidt, he screwed the pooch on 2010 and wisconsin, he is going to screw the pooch today also. He doesn’t understand the concept of a heavy pubbie turnout, he thinks turnout will be like 08. It won’t.
Silver sees DU psychotic visions.
Nate Silver compiles fatally flawed polls that assume a historic turnout for Obama. According to early voting numbers and other less tangible signs (such as crowd sizes etc) that turnout is not going to materialize.
Liberals are famous for believing only what they want to believe.
Why should Silver be any different?