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1 posted on 11/06/2012 9:29:17 AM PST by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Duh


2 posted on 11/06/2012 9:34:42 AM PST by scooby321 (AMS)
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To: Arthurio

I predict Ohio turnout will be 6 million. I said that yesterday. 1.8 million total early voters is about 30% of total turnout.

That’s my prediction.

8 million registered voters I believe for a 75% turnout of registered voters - outstanding.


3 posted on 11/06/2012 9:34:56 AM PST by Ravi
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To: Arthurio

for later


4 posted on 11/06/2012 9:34:56 AM PST by Doctor 2Brains
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To: Arthurio

Likely? Wow, strong language. /s


5 posted on 11/06/2012 9:35:23 AM PST by CatOwner
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To: Arthurio

Best news all day! Based on hard data and rigorous, conservative analysis. Let’s hope it holds up.


6 posted on 11/06/2012 9:36:28 AM PST by BlueStateRightist
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To: Arthurio

This author should be a rocket scientist.


7 posted on 11/06/2012 9:39:48 AM PST by Huskrrrr
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To: Arthurio

Idk about all of this. From everything I’ve read, Nate Silver is typically pretty spot on. So I’ll take his viewpoint over the supposed weighting disparity in early polls. I guess we’ll see tonight who was right!


9 posted on 11/06/2012 9:41:50 AM PST by MyHub
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To: All



Happy with FR now?

How about Contributing Today?

11 posted on 11/06/2012 9:43:03 AM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Arthurio
Late Monday night the Ohio Secretary of State released the “final” early voting results from Ohio’s counties.

"Results" is not quite accurate. We know how many absentee ballots were requested & how many were cast. But we do not know how they actually voted.

15 posted on 11/06/2012 9:46:07 AM PST by gdani
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To: Arthurio
This inverse in voting segments is why the proportion of early votes in the total votes — and that virtually every poll overestimated this proportion — is so tantamount.

LOL... wut? Paramount, maybe? Even that word is awkward in that place. And that's not the only place where his writing is clumsy.

I think the author is on to something and the numbers and conclusions are pleasant to my ear. However, he's trying, but failing, to put on that authoritative scholarly tone. Maybe it's just me, but I'm always a little suspicious of the motives of folks who do that.

16 posted on 11/06/2012 9:46:51 AM PST by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: Arthurio

Is that someone’s blog?


17 posted on 11/06/2012 9:50:51 AM PST by BunnySlippers (I LOVE BULL MARKETS . . .)
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To: Arthurio

While I’m a “forget polls, go vote” kind of person, I would trust time tested polls like Rassmussen and Gallop over a new kid on the block like Silver. He hasn’t been around that long.


24 posted on 11/06/2012 10:15:41 AM PST by ShovelPenguin
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To: Arthurio

But Nate Silvah, the pencil-neck pointdexter numbers guru for the loony left, says.... no way Bonzo loses Ohio.

This “forecast” is heavy on guesswork and wishful thinking, but it’s no less legit than Silvah’s projections from blatantly biased media polls.

Romney *should* win Ohio (he better, or he’s toast unless PA comes through despite monkey shenanigans in Philly), but I can’t believe that the Rats are focusing ALL of their vote fraud efforts on PA and they’ve somehow forgotten about Ohio.

Mitt’s triumphant internal poll from yesterday, with the massive, overwhelming ONE point lead in Ohio sure isn’t enough to offset ghetto vote fraud. At least the Ohio SOS is a Republican, but we’ll see if he has the cojones to disallow the fraud.


31 posted on 11/06/2012 10:31:28 AM PST by PermaRag (If Trayvon had a father, he'd look just like Obama)
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Too early to say anything.


32 posted on 11/06/2012 10:36:12 AM PST by yield 2 the right (2012, the election year that stinks!)
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