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To: SoftwareEngineer
That is actually quite easy. For each point you take off the Democrats and give to the Republicans in turnout, you would just have to add 1 point to the Gov and reduce 1 for the President.

Well I knew that. ;)

But the Freepers needed to hear it from our resident "Engineer". I actually think this is the more likely correction to the Rasmussen poll. I agree with you that his results for R's voting for Obama are just off. But I think his number for D's voting for Romney are off as well. Probably a slight edge for Romney.

So going from 86/87 to say 95/95 is not going to make any difference. But a one point swing the Rasmussen's turnout model is big.

And don't forget: Rasmussen is almost always wrong about the D/R/I. Too high on the D and too low on the R. I'm counting on that being the case this year.

We are going to win!!!!!

44 posted on 11/06/2012 6:44:05 AM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: InterceptPoint

Intercept,

Ha! Ha! Thank you for the kind words.

I did not mean for my post to come off the way it did.

My point was that if anyone wants to do a back of the hand calculation as to what RAS number would be on any kind of turnout, just add a point for every point you move to the “R” column.

Many thanks for your great work. I am following you on Twitter too!

Cheers!


48 posted on 11/06/2012 6:52:19 AM PST by SoftwareEngineer
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