From this thread(http://forums.eog.com/showthread.php?t=336249&s=3c176108b04b9910bf7e5bb85c94af88&p=3601324#post3601324):
Leaked Data points to poor Democratic voter turnout in Ohio during early voting.
Dave WassermanOH EARLY VOTE: Data suggests a much narrower Dem early vote/enthusiasm advantage than in ‘08, all pointing to a photo finish (in Ohio) about an hour ago
Dave WassermanOH EARLY VOTE: Clear from this data that we are headed for a less Obama-favorable turnout model than ‘08, but far from clear who will win OH 18 minutes ago
Dave WassermanNot sure if @fivethirtyeight took down tweet. But to argue this data suggests only a 0.9% decline in Obama margin seems a little dismissive. 8 minutes ago
Dave WassermanOHIO EARLY VOTE: In Obama’s 10 best counties, turnout is down -6.5% vs. ‘08. Everywhere else, turnout is up 10.5%: https://t.co/iYyATGQf 20 minutes ago
Dave WassermanOHIO EARLY VOTE: Data suggests to win, Obama has to do more on E-Day to get out his target vote than in ‘08 https://t.co/iYyATGQf 57 minutes ago
Dave WassermanOH EARLY VOTE: Early turnout more than doubled in Richland and Wayne (both strong R counties), presumably b/c of Husted’s uniform rules about an hour ago
In Obama’s 10 best counties, turnout is down -6.5% vs. ‘08. Everywhere else, turnout is up 10.5%
This is the money quote right here. We’ve been saying for weeks that the polls showing a D+3, D+5 model was wrong. Rasmussen said the electorate self identified as R+6.
Landslide, incoming.