I know, you're right. I agree. I'm not saying Obama will win Ohio. All I'm saying is when you compare 2012 to 2008 you must also take into consideration that Obama is the incumbent this time, he spent the last 4 years growing government (votes) and entitlement programs (more votes).
I agree the number of the government tit has increased, but I don’t think it will tip the scales. (Fraud could however) Obama absolutely has a chance to win Ohio. However, being Obama is chained to the worst economy since the WWII, and early voting looks much better than 2008, I think we have gained a number of new votes.