As long as Romney is within 10, he stands a good chance.
If Obama leads by 20+ as some surveys suggest, it is going to be a long night.
feel much better now for Romney.. thanks
Read this analysis on early voting.
This gentleman dug deep into county EV turnout. Roughly, 4% increase over 2008, but down 4% in Dem counties, up 14% in GOP counties. Ohio was won in 2008 by a relatively slim margin.
Ohio is the state that had almost a month of early voting, and complete focus of Obama campaign. If this is what they produced, I feel awfully good about things.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82948.html
“But here is what we do know: 220,000 fewer Democrats have voted early in Ohio compared with 2008. And 30,000 more Republicans have cast their ballots compared with four years ago. That is a 250,000-vote net increase for a state Obama won by 260,000 votes in 2008.”
This is not the first I’ve read this either. Dick Morris has mentioned. I believe there was something at National Review about this too.
“Good If Romney Is Ahead After Early Votes Posted”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Better If Romney Is Ahead After Last Votes Posted
Who knows which way Ohio will go, Romney should win a close fight. One thing is guaranteed in OH, PA, WI and any of the “close” races.. the democrat districts will be the last to send in their totals. They will be waiting to see how many votes they need and try and get to that number before sending in tallies.
Once again we will have to sit and watch what looks like a win maybe turn into a loss. Is the same sh*t every election. Just once I would love to see large republican districts in a state wait until the very end, wait until the democraps have posted all their numbers. Let those pricks watch a lead disappear in the last 30 minutes for once.
apparently the WaPo hasn’t been reading any of the news out of Ohio that Romney leads early voting by something like 52 to 47.....BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA
I read that the GOP had matched the Democrat EV and had virtually wiped out the 260,000 advantage they had last election.
Trollfish, Romney will not be ahead after early vote. He just has to be within 50,000 and Romney wins by 3-4.
This is when the media will (unofficially) declare Obama the winner- when he merely leads in Ohio early voting.
Ohio is going to be very close though.