I dont like this.
Who cares..as long as Romney gets 270 thats what matters..everything else would be just icing on the cake
It did but they don’t do their own polling as I’m sure you know. They are just presenting an average of all the major national polls and state level polls in an “unskewed” manner. With the movement of Gallup and Rasmussen to smaller leads this doesn’t surprise me. I’ve adjusted my own expectations based upon the polls and had already felt that it would be 285 Romney. But only because I’m having pre game nerves. When I really press through my anxiety and think through all the variables that weigh in on my take I still want to say Romney 300+. Which is why I haven’t adjusted my Facebook prognostications in my private conservative chatter group. We’ll see won’t we?
If the media closing the gap is based on a false premise of making 0bama appear to be strong so that a Romney landslide would look 'funny' and cause legal action by 0bama, then the final unskewedpoll electoral count would also be inaccurate.
Garbage in, garbage out..
unskewed, Chambers, showed a wide spread a week or two ago, but it’s been close the last few days. he may not be unskewing the enthusiasm factor, and he may be using the ‘08 model, and not the ‘10 model. so many variables they factor in. Chambers appears to be a true patriot, & he may just be making sure we’re not overconfident. Hard to understand why he’s all over the place.
I looked at the data below the map and here’s what I noticed. The numbers for the states that they show going to Romney are pretty solid, mostly 51-48 or more. But on the Obozo side, there are at least 4 states where the margin for O is barely a few thousand votes. Pa, Iowa, Wi, NH are the examples I saw, there might be a few more. So if this data is close to correct, only a few extra Romney voters in those places take it from a 275-263 win to a 300+ Romney landslide.