Rush, 'tis irrelevant...
ALL - #1...I believe, to the Obama campaign right now, they've already inwardly ceded the popular vote...but are forging their firewall to take Wisconsin, Iowa, Illinois and Michigan in the Northern Midwest...and then, jumping Indiana, Ohio & PA toward the East...
So, they think they can get 47-48% of the popular vote & still win the electoral vote count...
#2: Why Is Nobody Calculating 2010? And to quote Rush: In 2010, the electorate turned out to reject Barack Obama, and nothing has changed except it's gotten worse -- which, to me, 2010 is a far-more-relevant turnout model and election model than 2008 is...
Again, Rush, not relevant...
34% of the 2010 vote were Evangelicals...that's not 34% of the GoP vote...that was 34% of the ENTIRE ELECTORATE!
Now do you think the GoP-establishment appreciated that by securing a candidate the Evangelicals could rally behind in 2012? (Not on your life, unless you think a socialist healthcare pioneer, pro-abort, idolatrist 'god-in-embryo' qualifies)
It is true that among SOME Evangelical leaders & local pastors, they've been able to glean enough excitement to make some swing states close. But will that be enough?
At this point, I'm thinkin' all roads lead thru Ohio...If Romney didn't get the Ohio Evangelicals to rally enough, then I don't think he's going to pull it off...I think it'll all come down to Ohio...and I think it'll be razor-thin there...either way...
Yeah, I know Michael Barone and Dick Morris are forecasting 330 electoral votes for Romney...I know Newt Gingrich is saying 300+ electoral votes for Romney...
I know Karl Rove is saying a narrow Romney victory...
But even some talk-show hosts like Michael Medved today was starting to show his uncertainty...
The Democratic machinery could have enough in place to pull out a given swing state...(especially as you size up normal Dem-party chicago-like chicanery)
And conversely, the Evangelical excitement just isn't there this year...Evangelicals will NOT repeat its 34% of the electorate performance of 2010...Not even close...
The GoP-e just didn't think Evangelicals were an important piece of the 2012 puzzle...Even bringing Billy Graham on board was a late after-thought...
Signed...An Evangelical...
Michael Medved is a complete moron.
Whatever he says, the complete opposite is true.
Take it to the bank...evangelicals will show up in greater numbers than they ever have. The evangelicals (men especially) are fired up and anxious to give Obama the boot. I’ve never heard these men as political as they are today. The hate they have for Obama because of how he has moved against families, churches and the military is real and intense. If this nation rights itself tomorrow, it will be because men finally had enough and got up and voted like never before.