Useless? No. He was spot on in 2008 and he’s calling it the way he sees it. I don’t know why people have such a hard time with this. Romney is not leading in any of the swing states he needs. It’s not more complicated than that. Could GOP turnout upset the polls? Sure but you can’t blame Rove or anyone else for not buying into your feel good mood.
His own EC map doesn't reflect that view, it doesn't reflect even the true polls that would have those States as tosssups, not leaning Obama.
Ras and Gallup have this a +R year, not a +D year in voter ID, yet, we are suppose to believe the polls that state that not only are the Democrats going to turnout better then us, they are going to turnout better then their own win in 2008?
So, no it is not more 'complicated then that', the polls have been rigged to reflect a voting demographic that even the major pollsters don't accept.
So, this has nothing to do with a 'feel good mood' it has to do with the pollsters honesty and methodology.