There’s no way it’s like 2008 or 2010. Too many Obama-maniacs in 2008 and in a mid-term election with no “sexy” national candidate, the intelligent voters who pay attention to how politics affects their lives, a.k.a. the conservatives easily ruled the day.
This is looking much more like 2004, a close election where just one state like Ohio switching would have given the win to Kerry. I certainly wouldn’t predict beyond what Krauthammer and Hannity are saying, a narrow 270-290 Romney win.
However, I’m afraid that, just as in 2004, negativism against the incumbent won’t be enough to carry the day. The opposition party also needs a candidate they admire on his own merits. Romney was nowhere near that 3 months ago. He improved with the first debate, but did no better than treading water since then.
I didn’t get that impression from the campaign events over the weekend.
We are a divided country in many ways but more people want change than the status quo this year.
That desire for it is the only reason Americans are ready to fire the President. Its all about the economy, stupid.
If it had been in good shape, Obama would have been easily re-elected.