Buried in one of Nate Silvers recent articles is this gem:
Mr. Romney would not be in much danger of losing the Electoral College if he won the popular vote by more than about 1.5 percentage points. For example, he would be about a 95 percent favorite in the Electoral College if he won the popular vote by two percentage points, according to the forecast model.
But with national polls now showing a slight edge for Mr. Obama, these outcomes have become less likely. If Mr. Romney wins the popular vote, it may be only barely, and that might not be enough for him to win the Electoral College.
Nate Silver - BWAAAAAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHA! (It’s going to be better tomorrow - Silver, the NY Slimes, Wash. Compost, and PMSNBC all in one night...exploding (talking, liberal) heads...