[RIRed]

Bingo! It’s clear that Silver understands numbers, but his underlying assumptions are subjective and shifting. The first red flag is the fact that he assigns a probability of victory. No pollster does that because that isn’t what pollsters do.

[HenryArmitage]

No pollster does that because that isn’t what pollsters do.
Silver isn't a pollster, he is an oddsmaker. Basically a political bookie. But i think you are right, he sees the numbers but not the influences of them. A bit of not being able to see the forest through all the trees...

[dead]

The first red flag is the fact that he assigns a probability of victory. No pollster does that because that isn’t what pollsters do.

I agree. It's such a cop-out on his part.

When Romney wins, critics can't enumerate exactly how much Silver was wrong by. They can't say "he missed the mark by 14 percentage points or 110 electoral votes."

With his lame method of prediction, he'll just say, "Well, I did say there was a 14% chance Romney would win, so I wasn't wrong."

He's a gutless little ferret.

[re_nortex]

Nate Silver fails to take into account the Bradley effect.