I’ve been saying for weeks now Romney’s best shot is to win narrowly with FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI, losing OH, PA, MI, IA, NV, etc. But that is an oddball combination of states for a Republican to win with, mainly because of the OH/WI party swap. Not to mention no president has won since 1980 without both OH and NV in his column.
The fact that VA seems to be in play again and Romney has spent so much time there this week has been a major enthusiasm damper for me. Romney losing VA and still managing to win (by flipping PA?) is an even more oddball scenario.
It seems to me that Romney winning at this point has to either defy some solid historical trends, if it’s a narrow win, or erase a week’s worth of gains in the polls for Obama in 1-2 days, if it’s a 300+ EV win. One of them could happen but I wouldn’t bet my house on it.
Romney was going to win Virginia BEFORE the Kenyan pissed off every active duty and Navy veteran in the state by saying he was cutting the size of the Navy. The “toss-up” then went to SOLID ROMNEY, and anyone that believes otherwise aint playing with a full deck. Romney will carry Virginia and NC, easily.
I hate to say it becuase people on this site do not like any negative news, I don’t see Romney losing the popular vote but I believe it will be much harder to win the Electoral Vote. I’m not a seer, but my guess at this hour woujld be Romney 50, Obama 48, with a narrow win for the socialist in the EV. The larger the popular vote margin the better as it will diminish any “left fringe’ program he plans to implement.