Sounds good, I am expecting a bigger Romney win.
This guy is crunching the stats based on the discredited 2008 turnout model.
The popular vote won’t be that close. O is is not going to get more than 46% about two percentage points below his final poll showing.
Romney wins 51% O wins 46% and 1% other. A decent five points.
I did the interactive predictor on Fox and came up with 308 for Romney.
Right or wrong, I hope he’s back on line either gloating of explaining his error. I desperately hope the country can shed this tumoruos presidency but I am just so tired of these predictions. If there were a reliable method of foreseeing the result of this election we wouldn’t have hundreds of conflicting predictions, many explaining their findings down to the precinct level.
Is this the conservative counterpart to Silver? Is there another counterpart?
Yesterday there was a predictor just as reliable. It has worked in 17 of 18 elections.
If the Redskins win the home game before the election the incumbent wins. If they lose the challenger wins. Redskins lost.
The author’s picks match Rasmussen’s current picks or advantage where Rasmussen has a tie with a slight edge one way or the other, except: Rasmussen calls Ohio and Wisconsin ties, and the author gives Ohio’s 18 EV to Romney and Wisconsin’s 10 EV to Obama.
didnt we go through this with mcpain..? sad