The public polling has been criticized repeatedly by Republicans for partisan lean, and a WSJ/Marist/NBC poll of Ohio likely voters released late Friday night was no exception. Yet the basic assumptions that Benenson and Newhouse make in their surveys, and where the differences lie, fall less on party weighting, a self-identifying process by people surveyed, than the demographic composition they expect of the electorate.
They think that Obama's voters are coming for him in 2012 like they did in 2008, even though in every demographic there is no enthusiasm for him.
The polls are based on a flawed assumption and are thus being 'juiced' to meet it.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955037/posts
They think the white, male vote isn't coming out for Romney, but it is.
Well said, ftD!
By the way, is anyone here keeping a running tab on all the “concern trolls”? I’d like to have that list so I know who I DON’T ever want leading me into battle.
You mean the people who can't be bothered with a phone poll, or are too busy working to even answer one?
I sure hope you are right. My wife and I have gone back and forth over the question "Who in his right mind would ever bother to talk to a pollster?" I say, that's not the best question. The right question is whether there's some systematic bias in preferences among the people who do.