[tanknetter]

Here's what's interesting to me. In OH Obama's only winning 86% of Blacks, while he's winning 92% of Blacks in VA?

What were the 2008 numbers in those two states again? Nationally Obama got 98% of Blacks. According to CNN (am I looking in the right place here?) Obama drew 97% of the Black vote in Ohio and 92% in VA.

Virginia is consistent (although Black turnout will probably be lower this year) but Obama dropping 11 points amongst OH Blacks? Is that anything other than a collapse of support?

[Tea Party Terrorist]

It’s not the percentage of blacks Obama gets, but how many show up to vote. Hate to sound cliche, but it’s ALL ABOUT TURNOUT. Dem voting in Ohio in 2008 was down from 2004. We lost because the bottom fell out of GOP participation.

[okie01]

In OH Obama's only winning 86% of Blacks, while he's winning 92% of Blacks in VA?

The sub-sample of blacks in Ohio and Virginia isn't going to be large enough (maybe 130-or-so each) for the difference to be statistically significant.