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I’ve said this the last few days...

Ras and every other pollster has GIGO data - it all rests on a big assumption.

If that assumption is wrong - so is the result! No one can call the election this year because no one really knows if the model is a good fit to the data.

And I think they’re looking for data that validates their model. All the polls, including Ras are way off!

I agree and Michael Barone says that privately... ALL of these polling companies are scared to death. They have no idea if any of their polls are correct. None of them are confident and America has changed and it is much harder to get people to even take a poll today... much less get the demographics that one would need for clarity. Barone says polling can show trends... ok everything was trending romney until Sandy... then the media told us that obama had regained above 50%... until the truth of the disaster of the obama and FEMA response came shining through from the pain and misery of those affected by Sandy.

Now things are trending back to Romney... and one must look to the campaigns and where they are and what they are saying and the reaction of Americans to it. When one does that... all evidence points to a Romney victory. I have lived through this exact same thing before. I also remember the misery here on FR when the media tried to steal the election for kerry in 2004... with their lying exit poll data and its supression of the vote in the panhandle of Florida. Well we are smarter today and the pollsters are just as ignorant and/or corrupt as they were in 2004.

LLS