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To: snarkytart

No I did not but I think he and the rest are all keeping it close so the final results while not making them look like geniuses will also not destroy their credibility. Anytime a pollster makes his final call within the MOE (whether true or not) they stand little chance of being discredited.

Perhaps I’m wrong. It sure wouldn’t be the first time and won’t be the last.

As for this poll the fact they are not reporting tomorrow will give them the opportunity should they have been wrong of saying there was a last minute shift they didn’t pick up.


33 posted on 11/04/2012 6:30:34 AM PST by Lacey2
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To: Lacey2

As for this poll the fact they are not reporting tomorrow will give them the opportunity should they have been wrong of saying there was a last minute shift they didn’t pick up.


I think you nailed it right there.


60 posted on 11/04/2012 7:21:27 AM PST by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: Lacey2
"Anytime a pollster makes his final call within the MOE (whether true or not) they stand little chance of being discredited. Perhaps I’m wrong."

You're wrong.

"(After his ridiculous 311EV call for Kerry in 2004...) While admitting that he was mistaken, Zogby did not admit any possible flaws in his polling methods, insisting that his predictions were all within the margin of error. While on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart, he said he felt that Kerry would win due to the undecided voters. Despite his personal prediction, Zogby's final poll showed Bush with a one point lead over Kerry. Zogby later released a "Mea culpa" in which he stated "I will do better next time: I will just poll, not predict."

"It sure wouldn’t be the first time and won’t be the last."

Ok.

77 posted on 11/04/2012 9:33:09 AM PST by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NH = 285EV)
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