[laconic]

What the Yahoo article does NOT spend much time on is that the MARGINS for Obama in early voting are much less in each state than four years ago and can be overcome by the election day voting preference for Romney (no one expected Romney to win the early voting, only to close the wide gap that McCain suffered four years ago and he has largely done that). By this analysis, Romney is clearly going to win North Carolina, Florida and Colorado (the latter in which he has WON early voting and will win even bigger on Election Day voting). Iowa, Nevada and Ohio are more doubtful - if I had to pick, Romney will win Iowa by 10,000 and lose Ohio and Nevada. This makes it all the more important that he picks up either: 1) Wisconsin and Minnesota; or, 2) Pennsylvania. Without these, I see Romney clearly winning the popular vote while possibly, losing the Electoral Vote.

[God luvs America]

bingo and again- this will help Romney as it will motivate people who don’t want another four years of obama’s failed policies to get out and vote him out...

[fortheDeclaration]

Romney is not going to lose Ohio, thank you for a nonsense evaluation.

[srmorton]

According to those who know the state the best, Obama is NOT going to win Ohio. The polls that have him ahead are oversampling Democrats by several percentage points (+9) when the turnout in 2008 was only +8 Democrats. In 2010 the turnout was actually +1 Republican. Even if it is somewhere in between this year, that translates into a Romney win, especially when you consider that Ohio has a Republican governor and attorney general making voter fraud much less of a factor.