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Obama 2012 diagnosis: Stage Two Death Rattle
dailycaller.com ^ | N. Scott Jones

Posted on 11/03/2012 7:40:35 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2

As a veteran of numerous national, state and local campaigns, I can tell you that each race and each campaign has its own life cycle. The 2012 presidential contest is no exception. As polls tighten, and especially since Mitt Romney’s decisive performance in the first debate, Team Obama and the president himself are showing signs of what I term a campaign’s “death rattle.”

GOP contender Rick Santorum withdrew from this year’s Republican primary within three days of my declaration that his campaign was in the final stages of “death rattle.” The phenomenon has three distinct stages.

In Stage One Death Rattle, the candidate veers sharply off-message, seemingly desperate to change the subject. Santorum, for instance, unsuccessfully tried to capitalize on Romney adviser Eric Fehrnstrom’s ill-advised “Etch-a-Sketch” comment. Santorum began showing up at rallies with a pink Etch-a-Sketch to accentuate the point and worked lame references to it into his stump speech. It became gimmicky and unbecoming a presidential candidate. Obama’s Stage One came shortly after the first debate with Romney, with childish comments about Big Bird and other Muppets running for the border, gimmicky terms like “Romnesia” and other memes unbecoming his office. These sorts of antics rarely work.

In Stage Two Death Rattle, where I see the Obama campaign today, the campaign staff becomes increasingly frustrated, and the candidate finds it difficult not to lash out through actions or words. One symptom is public profanity. Santorum’s Stage Two moment came in an argument with New York Times reporter Jeff Zeleny over something Santorum had said in a speech. The former Pennsylvania senator was confrontational and suggested that Zeleny’s request for clarification and anything he might write about the issue were “bullshit.” Likewise, in a recent interview with Rolling Stone magazine, Obama referred to Romney as a “bullshitter.” By most accounts, Obama harbors a deeply personal animosity toward Romney but had successfully managed it in their encounters and with the press. That changed with the Rolling Stone interview.

In Stage Three Death Rattle, the candidate’s negativity toward his opponent permeates his speeches and completely overtakes his vision and messaging. His speeches grow shrill and his campaign staff and volunteers become demoralized. At this point, Santorum withdrew. Obama isn’t here yet, but he’s perilously close. New York Times columnist Ross Douthat recently wrote of an “aura of defeat” beginning to take hold within Team Obama. Maybe. But by any reasonable measure, the race remains very close.

Make no mistake about it, Team Obama and its leadership are rattled. History has shown that unseating an incumbent president is a daunting task. It is clear that Team Obama felt that the immense personal popularity of the president, unrelenting attacks on Romney and the power of incumbency would be sufficient to carry President Obama to a second term. The polls suggest otherwise.

In a few days, the jury — we the American people — will render a verdict on President Obama. A lot can happen in the next few days. Foreign affairs and questions about what happened at our consulate in Benghazi loom large for the president. Even an act of nature, Hurricane Sandy, could have a role in how it all unfolds.

We are living in challenging times, with the election of our lifetime at hand. It will be interesting to watch the final chapter in the life cycle of the 2012 presidential election and any symptoms of a campaign’s death rattle that may or may not come. Stay tuned.

N. Scott Jones is a contributing columnist at The Daily Caller, a Dallas-based, nationally recognized expert in public relations and public affairs, and a weekly radio commentator on “The Gary Snyder Show.” He has served as staff, an appointee or adviser to three U.S. presidents and two Texas governors.

Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/10/29/obama-2012-diagnosis-stage-two-death-rattle/#ixzz2BDXuO7zY


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
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1 posted on 11/03/2012 7:40:35 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: Iam1ru1-2

I loved this article.
Thanks for posting it again.
Great theme. Stage 2 death rattle.


2 posted on 11/03/2012 7:46:22 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

Every pundit who looks at this and blathers thereon has his/her own bias; not necessarily in terms of R or D (though there is plenty of that) but in terms of what they believe is either a winning strategy or a winning electoral vote count strategy or what will speak to the FSA or what will appeal to staunch conservatives or what it will take to win Ohio.

I don’t think we have ever seen an election like this one before, certainly not in my lifetime; there may have been the perception that the entire Republic was at stake in elections back in the 1700’s and 1800’s. I don’t think there has been an election where half the country was ready, willing, and able to either vote away their freedoms to ensure their next government paycheck, or, to take out whatever deep-seated feelings of revenge against the stirred-up wrongdoings of their own country.


3 posted on 11/03/2012 7:47:42 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (This stuff we're going through now, this is nothing compared to the middle ages.)
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To: Iam1ru1-2
This article was previously posted (maybe on its published date?). Maybe it needs updating by the author, tho =)

In Stage Three Death Rattle, the candidate’s negativity toward his opponent permeates his speeches and completely overtakes his vision and messaging. His speeches grow shrill and his campaign staff and volunteers become demoralized. At this point, Santorum withdrew. Obama isn’t here yet, but he’s perilously close. New York Times columnist Ross Douthat recently wrote of an “aura of defeat” beginning to take hold within Team Obama. Maybe. But by any reasonable measure, the race remains very close.

Sounds to me like 0 has hit Stage 3.

4 posted on 11/03/2012 7:47:46 PM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

If only voters truly WERE the ultimate jury. With all of the voter fraud and intimidation tactics going on around the nation, it may be criminal activities which turn the election, not voters.


5 posted on 11/03/2012 7:49:11 PM PDT by Oldpuppymax
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To: everyone
Fabulous graphic by RedMDer!

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6 posted on 11/03/2012 7:49:35 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Iam1ru1-2
the immense personal popularity of the president

I don't think this was ever true. It was just a lot of people feeling obligated to say, "Black guy? Oh, I love him! Best ever! Really great guy. Really. I mean ... he's black, right? What's not to love? I'm no racist!"

7 posted on 11/03/2012 7:52:35 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Global Warming is a religion, and I don't want to be taxed to pay for a faith that is not mine.)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

This author absolutely nails it.

Well done.


8 posted on 11/03/2012 7:53:22 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: Iam1ru1-2

“Obama harbors a deeply personal animosity toward Romney”

Romney is white, Mormon and a successful capitalist which is why.


9 posted on 11/03/2012 7:53:48 PM PDT by dynachrome ("Our forefathers didn't bury their guns. They buried those that tried to take them.")
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To: Iam1ru1-2

Prophetic, published 10/29.

Looks like early stage three now with the “Revenge” speech etc.


10 posted on 11/03/2012 7:55:15 PM PDT by 1066AD
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder
people are rather complex beings and are motivated by much more than where they get their pay checks.

you'll want to abandon your view on the matter or folks will start identifying you as a marxist shill ~ since that's the essence of marxism ~ that men are simple beings drifting in the sea of life and can be easily led with purely material elements to do what their masters want.

11 posted on 11/03/2012 7:56:26 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: mylife

May the “DON”T TREAD ON ME” rattlesnake sink its hot fangs into Obama’s ass and strike a blow for LIBERTY to a foreign and alien tyrant.

FUBO


12 posted on 11/03/2012 7:58:42 PM PDT by wetgundog (" Extremism in the Defense of Liberty is no Vice")
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To: wetgundog
I have that gadsden flag on the rear window of my pick up

FUBO!!!


13 posted on 11/03/2012 8:04:14 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: onyx

LOL!!
Thanks for that Public Service Announcement LOL


14 posted on 11/03/2012 8:06:57 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

I will fly, for 4 years, a black one Nov 7 if Benghazi-Coward Obama wins.


15 posted on 11/03/2012 8:08:15 PM PDT by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: Graewoulf

He’s toast


16 posted on 11/03/2012 8:11:00 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Graewoulf; All

We NEED the Senate!


17 posted on 11/03/2012 8:12:19 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Senator Goldwater
This author absolutely nails it.

Except for ---> this.

18 posted on 11/03/2012 8:19:55 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Iam1ru1-2
In Stage Three Death Rattle, the candidate’s negativity toward his opponent permeates his speeches and completely overtakes his vision and messaging. His speeches grow shrill . . .

Vote for revenge sounds pretty negative and shrill to me.

19 posted on 11/03/2012 8:21:43 PM PDT by Arm_Bears (Be cheerful, be confident, and VOTE!!)
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To: Iam1ru1-2
In Stage Three Death Rattle, the candidate’s negativity toward his opponent permeates his speeches and completely overtakes his vision and messaging. His speeches grow shrill . . .

Vote for revenge sounds pretty negative and shrill to me.

20 posted on 11/03/2012 8:22:09 PM PDT by Arm_Bears (Be cheerful, be confident, and VOTE!!)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

21 posted on 11/03/2012 8:22:44 PM PDT by garjog (We do not want another four more years of the last four years.)
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To: mylife

Nice flag sticker!! hehe

I like the post above about the rattle snake sinking it’s fangs into Ohobo’s butt.


22 posted on 11/03/2012 8:24:29 PM PDT by davetex (Sick of moochers)
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To: davetex
Thanks!! ☺ It replaced the aging, Caveman "I'll Decide" sticker I had on there.
23 posted on 11/03/2012 8:28:53 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Don’t get too optimistic. Romney is not in favor of those freedoms. At best, he’s a few percent better than the other guy.


24 posted on 11/03/2012 8:30:35 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: Graewoulf
I will fly, for 4 years, a black one Nov 7 if Benghazi-Coward Obama wins.

The black flag of islam?

25 posted on 11/03/2012 8:33:40 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1383 of the Obama hostage crisis - Barack Hussein Obama an enemy BOTH foreign AND domestic)
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To: null and void

No, silly. A black background Gadsden flag. Google “Gadsden” to see the vendors images.


26 posted on 11/03/2012 8:41:24 PM PDT by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: Iam1ru1-2

The American people do not want to fire a President. They do so very rarely.

But matters have reached a point where the country’s condition will not get better with this President in office.

The President is a good man and has good intentions - but they are not enough. His time has come and gone. And its time for America to move on!


27 posted on 11/03/2012 8:41:33 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

Reminds me of when Bush Sr called Clinton a “bozo”


28 posted on 11/03/2012 8:44:53 PM PDT by MNDude (OWS Movement RIP)
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To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions

I don't think either point is even remotely true, but even if they were...

RAD T
HELL


29 posted on 11/03/2012 8:46:01 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1383 of the Obama hostage crisis - Barack Hussein Obama an enemy BOTH foreign AND domestic)
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To: Jane Long
Sounds to me like 0 has hit Stage 3

You mean like when Obama used the word "revenge" the other day?

30 posted on 11/03/2012 8:52:54 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions...

I'm not so sure...

31 posted on 11/03/2012 8:59:34 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: goldstategop

The President is a good man and has good intentions - but they are not enough. His time has come and gone. And its time for America to move on!

good intentions? really? i won’t go thru the laundry list so i’ll just ask, do you think it’s a good intention to turn america into a socialist country?


32 posted on 11/03/2012 9:03:21 PM PDT by willywill
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To: willywill

If it only worked, which it does not. Whether Obama does it to be mean or does it out of illusion doesn’t matter to voting him out of course.


33 posted on 11/03/2012 9:04:40 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions - but they are not enough.

The HELL you say!

spit!

34 posted on 11/03/2012 9:05:35 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

Wouldn’t the “vote as revenge” statement be evidence of Stage 3?


35 posted on 11/03/2012 9:08:32 PM PDT by Truth is a Weapon (Truth, it hurts so good.)
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To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions

Promising to destroy the coal industry was 'good intention"?

You're nuts.

That was only one of his many promises to destroy the America we all know an love.

36 posted on 11/03/2012 9:09:16 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle (Liberals, at their core, are aggressive & dangerous to everyone around them,)
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To: goldstategop

For someone who “has good intentions”, Obama is certainly stubbornly stuck on tactics and methods that don’t work. He obviously doesn’t listen to Clinton’s blatherings about “doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result every time - the definition of insanity”. It’s not about not being “enough”, it’s about being too arrogant to rethink his communist/socialist brainwashing.


37 posted on 11/03/2012 9:13:14 PM PDT by Twinkie (REMEMBER BENGHAZI !!!!)
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To: onyx; RedMDer

Love the graphic!


38 posted on 11/03/2012 9:20:27 PM PDT by proud2beconservativeinNJ ("In God We Trust")
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To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions

You're wrong.

39 posted on 11/03/2012 9:26:30 PM PDT by ILS21R (We stand at the precipice, looking into the abyss.)
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To: goldstategop
"The President is a good man and has good intentions - but they are not enough. His time has come and gone. And its time for America to move on!"

You are seriously lacking of information. 

For starters, go rent the movie 2016.  And then work from there.  It gets worse, much worse, the more you dig.  Trust me.  Barack is not a nice guy.

 

_____________________________________


40 posted on 11/03/2012 9:38:45 PM PDT by CaptainKrunch (Freedom does not promise safety and security, freedom only promises freedom.)
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To: muawiyah

“...that men are simple beings drifting in the sea of life and can be easily led with purely material elements to do what their masters want.”

Ahh, but you’re making it sound like these beings, whether principled or merely drifters are making an equivocal, voluntary choice. The folks locked into gov’t money & benefits see it as their survival. They are not making the voting choices they do just to piss off Constitutionalists; they are doing it because they are voting what they believe are their best interests. They are voting their paycheck or their survival teat, in some form.

I can’t reconcile what you say (about what I originally posted) that this kind of viewpoint identifies me as a possible Marxist. I’m not offended, I just don’t get the connection. True Marxist (leaders) aren’t about to let the people vote for anything whose outcome is not determined in advance. Supposedly, we have a relatively fair election going on here and the winner, even if convoluted means are used to count the votes, is supposedly determined by the plurality of the votes, of course funneled into the EC system.


41 posted on 11/03/2012 9:39:03 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (This stuff we're going through now, this is nothing compared to the middle ages.)
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To: Windflier

What you said Cowboy.


42 posted on 11/03/2012 10:02:36 PM PDT by WVNan
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To: Iam1ru1-2

Tell him to take the blue pill.


43 posted on 11/03/2012 10:03:04 PM PDT by mass55th (Courage is being scared to death - but saddling up anyway...John Wayne)
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To: willywill

I’m sure like most on the Left, he means well. But his policies are a disaster for this country. I don’t hate him but I love my country. When the American people fire him, its out of necessity.

We can’t go on like this. And he knows it.


44 posted on 11/03/2012 10:13:48 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

It was around this stage of the 1980 election when Jimmy Carter suddenly started wearing cowboy boots to his campaign appearances and talked about kicking Republican ass. He said he was sorry he’d have to get Republican manure on his boots.


45 posted on 11/03/2012 10:13:58 PM PDT by Colinsky
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To: wetgundog; mylife

That image is on a LOT of vehicles (relatively speaking) around Atlanta.


46 posted on 11/03/2012 10:13:58 PM PDT by ctdonath2 ($1 meals: http://abuckaplate.blogspot.com)
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To: Iam1ru1-2

One interesting detail about today’s Obama rally in Milwaukee.

They claimed that it drew 20,000, but a quick check of the venue’s website shows that the maximum capacity for the room is 12,580. Photos of the event show that large parts of the room have been curtained off and bleachers are not full. It was still probably more than 7000, but far less than the claim.

It’s also interesting the Obama arrived in Milwaukee in a 757 instead of the typical 747 Air Force One. That could indicate that the campaign may be running out of cash.


47 posted on 11/03/2012 10:22:01 PM PDT by MediaMole
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To: MediaMole

What’s the cost difference on the planes?


48 posted on 11/03/2012 10:34:12 PM PDT by CaraM (Faithless is he who quits when the road darkens.)
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To: CaraM

757 — $5151.27 per hour

747 — $21330.06 per hour

I’m going by a commercial website figuring charters, but the spread should work.


49 posted on 11/03/2012 10:40:50 PM PDT by MediaMole
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To: WVNan
What you said Cowboy.

Amen, and pass the ammunition, sister!

50 posted on 11/03/2012 10:42:29 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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