I think Rove knows more about polling / elections than anyone else in America. He’s brilliant. Very few candidates could win re-election in 2004 being down with independents, and Bush ended up winning because Rove helped him max out his base to an unprecedented degree.
Rove is still a Border retard, like W and Jeb.
I agree with you, Arec. Instead of cheap personal shots made early in the thread, I’d rather hear a discussion of the posted article. I think Rove makes very cogent points about the race. All indications are that there is no enthusiasm for Obama in Ohio. Take, for example, the event in Ohio last night. The crowd size was pathetic. He ran an almost completely negative campaign in Ohio, and Romney has shown Ohio that he’s not the person that Obama portrays him to be. Ohio is showing Obama that they don’t like negative campaigners. All indications are that Obama will come out of early voting with a decidedly smaller advantage than 2008. Turnout by Romney supporters on election day should carry the day and easily erase the small early-voting advantage.
When you lose good will with your base it is very hard for people to trust you again. Dick Morris comes to mind.
I remember Rove saying in 2004 when he saw those exit polls favoring Kerry that he felt sick to his stomach. If he is as smart as he’s supposed to be he would have known on the spot they were bogus.