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I am amused by poll threads and people that hang their enthusiasm on them. Do you really think people in a large sample change their mind that readily? Does that pass the logic test? Let’s get more specific, does really any Romney voter think OMG there is Obungo with Christie..I am changing my vote. Nonsensical isn’t it? Oh well I guess why we have FR and poll threads with the requisite Concern Trolls. I can’t wait to electon day, to end all of this.

“I am amused by poll threads and people that hang their enthusiasm on them. Do you really think people in a large sample change their mind that readily? Does that pass the logic test? Let’s get more specific, does really any Romney voter think OMG there is Obungo with Christie..I am changing my vote. Nonsensical isn’t it? Oh well I guess why we have FR and poll threads with the requisite Concern Trolls. I can’t wait to electon day, to end all of this.”

I saw a skinny black dude standing next to a fat white dude on TV. I am voting for the fat white dude for prez. Huh? He’s not running? Okay, I’ll vote for the skinny black dude because, well... he was standing next to the fat white dude.

It sounds nonsensical but this IS America, the enchanted land where anything can happen. Luckily, the millions of voters out there that actually follow this reasoning (and I believe there are many millions of them) will most likely be bummed when they realize next Thursday that they forgot to vote on Tuesday for the fat black dude. No, the skinny white dude. No, that’s not it either. Vote for the... oh, forget about it.

I think more what SoftwareEngineer is getting at---and I suspected this too when Gallup quit polling---is that the hurricane so disrupted phone lines, people's lives, and communication everywhere that your previous 1% response sample probably has dropped to .01%.

I have been told by a well-known Republican pollster that you all know that there is a certain laziness with the bigger polling organizations and their people are supposed to get x number of men, y number of indies, and so on. But after a while, they just get tired and sloppy and start saying, "Ok, close enough, I'll make him a Hispanic." With the advent of caller ID and cell phones (a large portion of which go to businessmen and suburban housewives, as well as the expected users of "yuts" and inner city types), pollsters are getting de facto a more D sample no matter what they try.