I don’t get your predictions, you think they’ll get double what even liberal pundits think than can get but you think Joe Walsh one of the most vulnerable Republicans who looks certain to lose will win easily and IL will be close in the White House race? Very contrarian.
If Walsh survives and IL is close in the POTUS race we are gaining 20 seats.
There are many districts, in different states, who barely elected republican congressmen, in 2010, with 50%-51% of the vote. The majority of those districts usually elect Democrats, so some of those Republicans will lose. However, Rep. Walsh is running in a district where the majority of the voters are Republicans. The majority of the state senators, state reps., and county commissioners, from his district, are Republicans.