[AaronInCarolina]

Bad news. He nailed it in 2008:

Just about everybody nailed it in 2008 (if "nailing" it means they called the winner right). Most polls had Obama over McCain by double digits. Even Rasmussen had Obama over McCain by about 7 points.

That is not remotely the situation we are in this time around. Most national polls have Romney up, even with built-in oversampling of Dems. There is an enthusiasm for Romney (and a sickness of the incumbent) that just did not exist for McCain. And there is a decidedly reduced enthusiasm for Obama that existed in 2008.

Its a totally different ball game this time around.

[Eva]

There was an article on WSJ that said that the Democrats were not counting on the evangelical support for Mitt Romney. They thought that they had promoted the anti-Mormon hate enough to turn off the evangelical support for Romney.

It almost worked.