[Maceman]

Your “worst case” has Romney winning Wisconsin. I think a “worst case” scenario would have Romney losing there.

[HenryArmitage]

Your “worst case” has Romney winning Wisconsin. I think a “worst case” scenario would have Romney losing there.

I think he means worst case that still has Romney winning. Without Ohio Romney needs some surprising upsets. With Ohio things get much sunnier. It looks more and more that "where goes Ohio, goes the nation". I'd love to see Romney lose Ohio and still get enough EV just to see some pollsters/oddsmakers heads explode.