How can Romney be up by 10 points with independents, yet is only tied? This must be a D+7 sample or something.
Rasmussen showed tightening as well yesterday. Before this gets shot down we should see what he shows. Gallup still looks good, but if other polls show the same thing, it could be the start of a trend. What is driving that only G*d knows.
Aren’t these Monday’s numbers?
I’m guessing 0bama may get a bounce if he merely goes through the motions and does his job, unlike his handling of Benghazi. Chris Christie is already kissing his butt!
If Gallup is right then Romney wins in a landslide.
Wash Post ABC Poll was #17 out of 23 polls in 2008:
Here is the list
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)
6T. ARG (10/25-27)
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweek (10/22-23)
This poll... like abc news itself... is a fabricated joke!
LLS
Any poll that is using the 2008 turnout model is projecting or perhaps wishing for an Obama victory. In reality, the 2012 model will be a hybrid that will throw off the voter surveys thus far. In reality, Republican “super voters” are being recorded in heavy numbers in absentee/early voting trends, while democrats are “cannibalizing” their normal election day “super voter” turnout to make up for lower numbers they are finding in the early voting numbers. The independents and undecideds are breaking toward Romney, so the key becomes GOTV. The GOP has enabled a very sophisticated poll watcher network that combines old-fashioned legwork with high-tech mobile aps that will allow the Romney campaign to monitor election day turnout with real-time accuracy. Folks, this will be interesting to watch, but keep in mind that “exit poll” models will be skewed to the point of being even more irrelevant than in the past. Only the honest and reliable pollsters will be able to survive after the election if they are using scientific data collection methods rather than these “projection” polling models.