Here’s the deal. If Romney wins 50-46, or in that range, he will win enough EVs to win the presidency. It will just shake out that way.
No candidate in history has ever scored 50% and lost the presidency (not incl 1877 Compromise). No candidate has ever won the national vote by more than 1% and lost the presidency.
It’s the loser (or the underdog) who needs to find paths via the electoral college.
If Obama were up 51-46 and 50-46 in the national polls, we would not be hearng a peep about how Ohio could impact the election.
I’d just hate to make history in the wrong kind of way.