My swag at the overall vote has been 55% Romney and 40% O with 5% going to 3rd parties. No meat behind the swag but gut feelings and wishful thinking maybe because I do not want a close race, it needs to be define so that there are no mixed messages or open doors to angst. We will know for sure in about 10 days and a few hours...
I will be enormously surprised if the third party vote exceeds more than 2% in any but the deepest blue or red states, and possibly not even there. In my county, most elections I see a huge number of “green” or “libertarian” noises. This year it is hard to find any presence of those.